That said, the ranking of ad networks according to potential monthly visitors is:

1. Millennial Media: 45.6 million
2. Third Screen Media: 28.6 million
3. AdMob: 25.7 million
4. MSN Ad Network: 25.4 million
5. Jumptap: 23.4 million
6. Quattro Wireless: 23 million
Source

The bottom line: Nielsen’s warning makes it hard to put a lot of faith in these numbers, but as the company itself pointed out, overall, they illustrate the reach mobile ad networks can now offer, alongside all of their other benefits like effective targeting. So, in some way, having the biggest reach isn’t as important as having the right reach – that is, targeting the correct audience – for each advertiser.
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ADMOB TO SERVE UP ITS 100 BILLIONTH AD sometime over the weekend, the company said in an email. It’s certainly a big number, reached in three years or so, and the company says it’s now serving more than 8 billion impressions per month across its network. Source

The bottom line: Admob continues to grow its number of impressions, but as the above point indicates, it’s not all about quantity. Establishing significant inventory is important, but going forward, that won’t be an issue, as the previous point shows. Effective targeting and other enhancements will be key to unlock the real potential of mobile advertising.
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MARKETERS ARE STILL SKEPTICAL ABOUT TWITTER, with just 8 percent saying they think it’s a “very effective” promotional tool, while 50 percent say it’s “somewhat effective”. Consumers feel the same way, with half of them saying it’s “not that effective” or “not at all effective” for promotions. Source

The bottom line: These numbers are striking, given all the hype surrounding Twitter at the moment. But instead of undermining social media’s value to marketers, perhaps they reflect an understanding that social networks really don’t work as outlets for traditional advertising and promotional efforts, and that successful social media marketing requires a different approach. It seems clear that consumers don’t want their social networks polluted with impersonal advertising blasted at them from marketers, so a different, more conversational and personal – and less overtly promotional – approach is needed.
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MONTHLY DATA TRAFFIC WILL EXCEED 2008′S YEARLY TOTAL WITHIN 5 YEARS, according to a new report from ABI Research. The company says that in 2008, 1.3 exabytes of data went across mobile networks, but in 2014, 1.6 exabytes will be sent each month. The vast majority of this – 74 percent – will be from web and internet access, with more than half of all traffic coming from computers with embedded cellular modems.

ABI says that a quarter of the 2014 traffic will be from audio and video streaming, with less than 1 percent from VoIP and P2P file-sharing. Those last two segments seem a bit low, particularly if consumers shift in large numbers from fixed to mobile internet for their primary broadband connection. It’s unrealistic to think that consumers will give up their P2P and VoIP apps when they go mobile on a PC, regardless of the blocking operators may try to do. Source

The bottom line: Mobile data traffic will obviously continue to boom – but much of the growth will come from PC and laptop use. While mobile operators will welcome the revenue bump, the question remains if their networks can handle all the activity without sacrificing performance.
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WESTERN EUROPE’S MOBILE AD MARKET TO BE WORTH €950 MILLION BY 2013, according to new research from FirstPartner. The company says that the market will see a compound annual growth rate of 50 percent over the next five years, with the U.K. leading the way. It also adds that mobile search will be the most dominant revenue stream, and that if the mobile ad market is going to really take off, the ecosystem of operators, ad agencies and sales houses will have to work closely to sell the market on mobile advertising’s benefits. Source

The bottom line: Predicating a market growth report on operators playing ball with anyone could be a risky proposition – but that’s not to say the company’s incorrect in saying the ecosystem has to align itself and work together to move in the right direction.
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TURKEY TO HAVE 30 MILLION 3G USERS BY 2013, according to Wireless Intelligence. The country’s mobile operators flipped on their 3G networks last week, and the research firm expects them to see solid growth. While Turkey may be late to the 3G game, there’s high demand for high-speed mobile data, while the infrastructure and device market has also matured, allowing for heavy growth. Source

The bottom line: Not a lot to say about this one, really, apart from the idea that high-speed data and access to mobile content and data services is a global phenomenon at this point. That said, content providers and marketers still need to work to build their local intelligence, because while the generic global demand might be there, what works and what doesn’t will vary from area to area.

Yankee further suggests smartphones are the most competitive battleground in wireless today, and predicts U.S. penetration will reach 38 percent by 2013.  More competitive device entrants, tighter budgets, and increased consumer expectations are factors that will force OEMs and operators to collaborate in order to grow. Source

The bottom line: The proliferation of full-featured handsets and the advance of payment mechanisms (other than the ones operators offer) have created some tension, making this an interesting space to watch.   It’s also worth pointing out that, while 41 percent will choose smartphones, the majority (59 percent) of consumers are not going for smartphones as their next device, nor may they even care to upgrade.

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IDLE SCREEN TECHNOLOGY ENGAGES 82 PERCENT IN TRIAL by Celltick’s LiveScreen Media platform. The Telefonica mobile operators group announced the launch of an innovative idle screen marketing solution, Livescreen Media, which broadcasts news, sports, business, entertainment and lifestyle teasers – as well as advertising messages directly to the mobile idle-screens.

Movistar, the Mobile Phone Company from the Telefonica Group, tested the service as part of a six-month trial in Mar del Plata, Argentina, involving around 5,000 customers, and results showed 82 percent of users engaged with the new communication channel on the idle screen.  The platform is also able to segment users based on location, handset type and areas of interest which are generated from tracking user response to idle screen messages. Revenue is generated from content downloads, subscription services and advertising fees.  Source

The bottom line: As I posted on my own blog, the Idle Screen presents an enormous opportunity to drive increased data traffic and service engagement, if issues of bandwidth and battery life can be overcome.  82 percent engagement is a massive proportion of users, albeit in a local and rather limited trial. In my book it begs the question: Is further proof of concept really required?

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PURCHASES ON MOBILE CONSIDERED SAFE BY 71 PERCENT consumers, says an eMarketer summary of recent mobile commerce statistics. The round up reveals the kind of products people want to buy from their phones, which include pizza, movie tickets, hotel rooms, and fast food the most popular.  Internet Retailer, a ranking of America’s 500 largest e-retailers, provides us more proof that mobile commerce is gaining some traction in the U.S. It reports that 5 percent of the top 500 online retailers offer m-commerce sites or iPhone apps. It estimates the U.S. m-commerce market will total $1.6 billion in 2009. Source

The bottom line: This report suggests that the U.S. is ahead of the game in m-commerce. Peggy adds: It also lends credence to the view that mobile advertising (communicating the brand message via mobile) could be just a side-show. The real excitement is building around selling stuff via mobile, a scenario that could put mobile operators (with their trusted payment mechanisms) back on center stage.

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EUROPE TO HAVE 130 MILLION MOBILE LBS USERS BY 2014. A Berg Insight report predicts that the number of European users of mobile location-based services will grow significantly from 20 million users in 2008, propelled by local search, navigation, and social networking services.

Among the drivers: On-device application stores will provide greater access to mobile services for a broader audience, flat-rate data plans will make pricing transparent and more operators are opening their location platforms up to third parties.  More than 20 percent of mobile handsets shipped in 2009 will feature GPS, and the installed base in Europe will surpass 50 percent of total handsets in 2013.  Source

The bottom line: Berg adds more fuel to the location fire with this report. Technological penetration, consumer education, and basic marketing remain key to the success of location services. And we shouldn’t forget that there’s a big difference between having the technology and using it on a regular basis.

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NOKIA ANNOUNCES OVI STORE VISITS FROM CONSUMERS IN 152 COUNTRIES.  Two weeks after the initial Ovi launch, Nokia has revealed a range of statistics about the service. It says that the Ovi Store is accessible from over 75 Nokia devices in five languages and taps into mobile billing from 27 operators. When it comes to free downloads, the Applications category tops the list. Games is the top catgory in premium content.  Many of the most popular applications involve messaging, such as Twitter, Facebook and SMS applications. Source

The bottom line: All-systems go for Ovi. After what I described as a difficult launch, these statistics illustrate that the Ovi Store is now bedding in and beginning to enjoy use with a broad reach.  With improved user experience (which will come when the store becomes pre-installed on devices) will come increased, carrier independent use with a significant global footprint.

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MOBILE REVENUE GROWTH SLOWS TO 3 PERCENT in Q1 2009, according to a Strategy Analytics report. Down from 8 percent a year earlier, the report, “Wireless Operator Performance Benchmarking, Q1 2009,” says nearly 40 percent of all mobile operators saw revenues fall in Q1 2009, compared to just 16 percent in the same forecast period in Q1 2008. The research, which tracks the operational and financial performance of over 175 mobile operators who account for 80 percent of global subscribers, found that a quarter of the operators in emerging markets also saw service revenues fall in Q1 2009. Source

The bottom line: Bleak reading from Strategy Analytics illustrates that the economic downturn has made a global impact on operators, and very few are immune.

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U.S. FLIRTING ADDICTION SEES AN AVERAGE OF FIVE DAILY LOG-INS AND 26 SENT MESSAGES.  Statistics from Flirtomatic, a U.K.-based mobile and online flirting service that recently launched in America, reveals mobile flirting behavior using their service is remarkably similar on both sides of the Atlantic.  This has allowed Flirtomatic to reach critical mass in the U.S. – much earlier than expected.

By way of background, Flirtomatic, with 1.3 million U.K. users and a frequent listing in the top 5 mobile websites, stands out as one of the mobile Internet’s social networking success stories. It also offers an effective platform for advertisers, and reports an impressive 10 percent CTR.  A witty and effective campaign for Storngbow cider in the U.K. resulted in users sending (gifting) their buddies a whopping 340,000 drinks (delivered as drink tokens to their mobile phones) in just two weeks. Source

The bottom line: Given the previous gloomy story, I thought it reasonable to conclude Data Points on a lighter note this week.  Flirtomatic’s story illustrates what can be achieved if the platform, offering and audience are all in synch and the effort is made to benefit consumers, carriers, advertisers, and partner brands.

U.K. MOBILE INTERNET: A new report from eMarketer – true to its name always an excellent source of mobile marketing stats and insights. U.K. Mobile Internet connects the dots in mobile user behavior. How many users are there? Between just 7.2 million and 17.4 million, depending on the report you read.

But the report conclusion is hardly subject to interpretation: The mobile Web is “gaining ground in the U.K., and soon the audience will be large and broad enough to interest mainstream advertisers.” Key drivers: iPhone and similar high-end devices, cool new apps, and improved usability. Still, more of the same are sorely needed to increase the number of people using the mobile Web.

LOCAL MOBILE SEARCH: The Kelsey Group gives us hard figures on the size of the local mobile search advertising opportunity in the U.S. It reckons mobile advertising revenues (search and display) will grow to $3.1 billion in 2013, from $160 million in 2008, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 81.2 percent. During the same forecast period, the research firm predicts mobile local search advertising revenues will increase from $20 million to $1.3 billion. On paper, local marketing looks promising. “There is a strong correlation between local search and the mobile use case, which will cause a good portion of the ongoing mobile application boom to focus on local,” Michael Boland, program director, Mobile Local Media (MLM), The Kelsey Group, said in a press statement. What’s missing is a sure-fire strategy to get local shops and businesses on board. And, if the end-game is location-aware advertising, then there are even more issues to solve before we can get to the revenues Kelsey is forecasting. The press release gleans over these details, so I suspect it’s a numbers-focused report. Nonetheless, there is some value to having the hard facts.

Among the findings:

• The percentage of mobile searches that have local intent will increase from 28 percent in 2008 to 35 percent in 2013
• Currently there are 54.5 million mobile Internet users in the U.S., representing 25 percent of online users
• Approximately 15 percent of iPhone applications are local

RINGRING MEDIA RESULTS: The email just came in that Ben Tatton-Brown, RingRing Managing Director, and I are set to discuss these new numbers and much more in a briefing later this week. In the meantime, RingRing is bullish on mobile search following some successful campaigns. We don’t know the base numbers, but the company has increased its own mobile search spending four-fold. Why? Because keyword campaigns run by RingRing on behalf of its clients have achieved click-through rates of up to 16 percent. The company says conversion rates have “peaked at over 110 percent, generating tens of thousands of content downloads at an unprecedented cost per acquisition.” As a result, clients are now attributing much more of their mobile advertising budgets to search. (By way of background, RingRing specializes in planning and buying mobile advertising and search campaigns, and has already booked substantial volumes of search this year through Yahoo and Google. This includes buying search terms across Yahoo’s mobile advertising network and on-portal directory links on mobile operators Vodafone and 3 in the U.K., as well as on Google Mobile. More on what RingRing Media does and how in an exclusive Q&A next week.)