Mobile Groove — the monthly podcast I produce with Inma Martinez, leading digital media strategist, “free radical” and advisor to venture capitalists — zeroes in on Google, dissecting its mobile strategy and asking some uncomfortable questions.

ANDROID SHIPMENTS

There’s no denying the phenomenal popularity of Android apps. But how many Android devices have shipped and how big is the Android market – really? Great questions and we wish we had the answers. For some reason, it’s radio silence at Dell and across the 10+ manufacturers in the Open Handset Alliance. Inma will continue to dig for facts and figures, but right now your guess is as good as ours. Listen in and let us know.

GOOGLE’S GAIN

Google snaps up AdMob for $750 million in stock. Is Google banking on a boom in mobile advertising? Or does this latest spree (AdMob and Gizmo5) lay the groundwork for a much larger (and much smarter) scheme to dominate mobile? Inma’s take: Google is doing more than acquiring capabilities to take on rivals (Gizmo5 allows Google to take on Skye, for example). “The Web giant is buying up distribution relationships with mobile publishers – even if it has to buy it at a loss.” (By way of background, AdMob served ads for more than 15,000 mobile Web sites and applications worldwide with a sharp focus on iPhone apps.)

RIVAL AD NETWORKS

AdMob’s price tag sends a clear message to the market: no one (!) can offer a cheaper price for a mobile ad network that has created similar value. What does this mean for Millennial Media, JumpTap and other ad networks making their mark? And while we’re at it: what is the impact on mobile valuations – period? Inma is looking forward to huge deals that show mobile is a serious and solid industry.

GOBLET OF ROCK

This time we salute Europe’s media superstars for harnessing mobile to produce fantastic results. From great apps to sharp monetization strategies European publishers are showing they “get” mobile. Inma’s pick: The Daily Telegraph and an awesome iPhone app she encourages us all to take out for a spin. Since I’m still reeling from an excellent presentation I recall from the last Mobile Marketing Forum in Berlin, I raise mine to The BBC – specifically, BBC World and Tom Bowman, VP Strategy and Operations, BBC Advertising Sales. In addition to developing a cross-platform strategy that has placed mobile in the middle from the get-go – it has also monetized it through mobile advertising with fantastic results. This approach has allowed the BBC to become a Broadcaster 2.0. (More details on the BBC World mobile advertising strategy and the results it has delivered to date in my bi-monthly column for my favorite trade publication, EContent magazine. You can read all the columns here.)

On the occasion of so much excitement in the mobile space Inma also raises a second goblet of Rock to ACCEL Partners, for taking the dive and staying dedicated to mobile. By way of background, ACCEL recently sold two of its portfolio start-ups for a total of $1.5 billion. (AdMob went to Google for $750 million in stock and Playfish went to games publisher Electronic Arts for about $300 million.)

Until next time – keep it fun!

Listen to the podcast here, [17:27]

While the iPhone OS was the leading smartphone platform on Millenial’s network, with 33 percent of smartphone share (ahead of BlackBerry’s 31 percent), Samsung was the top device maker, thanks to the predominance of featurephones. The company also said the US mobile web audience grew to 64.8 million users, and that its ad network reached nearly 80 percent of them.

The report also features a section on mobile app analytics, provided by Mobclix, which says that the iPhone App Store is the biggest on the block, with 115,000 apps, and also leads in downloads, with 100 million per month. Android Market is a distant second, with 20 million per month, and BlackBerry App World even further back in third, delivering 300,000 downloads per month.

Millienial adds that traffic to advertisers’ sites represented almost half of the mobile campaign destinations on its network in October, while app downloads accounted for about 30 percent. Source

The bottom line: Mobile web use – and the market for mobile ads – continues to grow. But don’t overlook smartphones, which still account for a huge chunk of the mobile web market.

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THE MOTOROLA DROID SOLD 250,000 UNITS IN ITS FIRST WEEK, according to GigaOM and based on a report from mobile analytics company Flurry. The new Android device, available only on Verizon Wireless in the US, has been well received by commentators, and now, apparently, by the market as well. Flurry says that the sales are more than four times those of T-Mobile’s MyTouch 3G in its first week of sales in August, but of course pale in comparison to the 1.6 million iPhone 3GS devices sold in its first week. Source

The bottom line: Is Motorola clawing its way back from the precipice? Could be – since software has long been its Achilles heel, turning to Android could turn out to be a smart choice, and one that saves the company.

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MORE THAN 3 MILLION PEOPLE IN THE UK HAVE REDEEMED A MOBILE COUPON, says Juniper Research in a new report. The analyst firm says that mobile coupons enjoy a redemption rate six times higher than traditional paper coupons, again highlighting the viability of mobile marketing to deliver results for advertisers and brands. Source

The bottom line: Mobile coupons seem like a no-brainer, if only because people are less likely to forget to bring their phone to a shop than a paper coupon! But combined with opt-in campaigns and any number of targeting techniques, they represent a valuable resource for retailers.

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THE NUMBER OF MOBILE SOCIAL NETWORKING USERS IN LATIN AMERICA AND AFRICA WILL INCREASE TENFOLD BY 2015, says a new report from analyst firm Frost & Sullivan and mobile social networking provider Colibria. F&S says the market will amount to 527 million users and be worth $2.4 billion in six years, reflecting the increased popularity of the services, but also the prevalence of mobile as an Internet channel in emerging markets. Source

The bottom line: It’s easy to predict the growth of mobile social networks, but anybody eyeing the space has to keep in mind how people in emerging markets use their mobiles and access the internet primarily through them.

Perhaps Patrick Moorhead, Director of Emerging Media at Razorfish, put it best. He was quoted saying: “(T)his is a wake-up call to clients who say mobile is not a real opportunity, because it is. Google doesn’t get involved in anything it doesn’t think has scale.”

But mobile advertising is more than big business. The fact that Google had to buy AdMob is a clear confirmation that mobile is also different.

MOBILE IS MOBILE

Mobile is a new medium (the 7^th Mass Media, actually) and squeezing online ads onto a small screen – even if that screen is a smartphone/touchscreen device – short changes advertisers and the people they hope to reach with their marketing message. SMS and display banners have their place in the marketing mix. But my own research and a recent mobile marketing survey conducted by Netsize underline the growing interest in richer advertising formats, as well as in-application advertising (in-app ads).

Connect the dots, and brands/advertisers are exploring and executing strategies that make the most of the mobile device and the range of exciting formats available.

Paul Palmieri, Millennial Media CEO, picked up on this key aspect. His take (from an email statement): “Google validated what many companies including Millennial Media has known for years – that mobile is a different market with a huge potential for advertising, possibly a bigger opportunity than online media.”

Google, which introduced AdSense for Mobile in June, has also had to acknowledge that online and mobile are different. The program, a way to land display ads (from online advertisers) on mobile phones, ended up dumping ads on mobile devices, a modus operandi that doesn’t work if the ad landing pages are not optimized for mobile.

But don’t assume content adaptation alone solves the problem. As Rachel Pasqua, Director, Mobile Marketing, iCrossing, pointed out during a panel I moderated on SEO and mobile search: It’s not enough to optimize ads; advertisers also have to think through what people do after the click. In her view, mobile campaigns that drive results have mobile at their core.

ADMOB’S ADVANTAGE

AdMob, a company that has focused on innovative made-for-mobile advertising formats (and analytics) from the start, “gets it.”

From early 2007 (the company was founded in 2006) executives including founder Omar Hamoui caught up regularly with me to brief me on cool new ad formats and innovation coming out of the “Ad Lab” it had with Apple. This sharp focus on richer advertising formats plus the technology platform to monetize mobile inventory and the analytics capabilities to optimize the delivery, tracking and reporting of mobile ad campaigns (which I personally road tested in my mobile advertising how-to white paper) has clearly paid off.

A few other aces in AdMob’s hand:

A huge footprint in CPC (cost-per-click) performance marketing. We read in the September AdMob Mobile Metrics Report that AdMob serves ads for more than 15,000 Web sites and applications around the world. The number of monthly ad requests in the AdMob network hit 10.2 billion in September 2009 (up from 1.6 billion in 2007).  BTW: The premium space is wide open to players such as Millennial Media, the next company I profile in MSG’s Meet The Mobile Ad Networks series.

A deep understanding of the in-app advertising space. AdMob is the largest ad network for in-app ad inventory on the iPhone. AdMob kicked off 2009 with the launch of Download Tracking for iPhone applications (allowing advertisers to accurately monitor App Store conversion rates and measure their return from advertising on AdMob’s network). If quickly followed with an iPhone Advertising Exchange, a concept similar to the banner and link exchange services we know from the Internet. As Russell Buckley, AdMob VP Global Alliances, put in this MSG interview at the time: “The new-launch iPhone Download Exchange is about allowing developers with apps and ad space to serve ads that promote other apps within the Download exchange, and get traction for their own apps in the process by placing ads for free on other applications.” An excellent way to build relationships and good will in the developer community in my book.

A drive to innovate new ad formats. It’s beyond the scope of my analysis to list all the new interactive ad formats AdMob quietly and cleverly brought online in 2009. The highlights: the capability to blend graphical display (banners) with iPhone-specific actions, including maps, calls (initiating a voice call from an ad), iTunes (opening the iTunes store to purchase music or video content from the store), audio (listening to recorded or streaming audio content) and – most important – integration with the App Store to download apps. And let’s not forget the cool new iPhone ad units that went live in July.

I caught up with Thomas Schulz, Vice President & Managing Director, EMEA, at the time of the launch to talk through the nuts & bolts of these new formats, which include mobile social networking (as he put it: turning a brand message into a conversation by letting people click on the banner to access the advertiser’s content/updates on Twitter, Facebook etc…); mobile search (allowing people to search in a company’s mobile site by typing a keyword query directly into the banner); and a multi-panel banner (allowing people to answer multiple calls to action in a single rich media ad).

And the list goes on….

WAS THAT THE PRIZE?

As a loyal BlackBerry user, I am the first to side with executives such as Boris Fridman, Crisp Wireless CEO, who correctly remind us that iPhone is not the only game in town. (More in this post.)

So, did Google snap up AdMob for its impressive reach, its innovation, its grasp of iPhone/in-app ads or its mobile analytics?

Or was it — as Ian Schafer, CEO of Deep Focus, an interactive marketing agency suggests – AdMob’s stockpile of data that clinched the deal.

As he put it in this must-read post:

“With the acquisition of AdMob, Google now has access to usage data of many of the most popular mobile apps — especially the apps in the iTunes App Store. For iPhones. If Google is taking on Apple for mobile OS market share, they just scored a huge competitive advantage. Google will know more details than ever about how people are using iPhone apps, how they are engaging with advertising within those apps, and users loyalty to those apps.”

I am intrigued by Ian’s take – so much so that I have scheduled a straight-talk podcast with him next week to discuss this in more depth.

So, is it all about giving Google a leg up on understanding and segmenting app users based on how they interact with in-app ads?

Eric Schmidt, Google CEO, sure leaves that impression. As he put it in this interview with Bloomberg: “One the key success points for the iPhone was this enormous development of apps, and particularly free apps, which are advertising supported. Now that we have our Android platform coming out, and really with some serious partners behind it, it will also be important to have that be true for Android as well as the others.”

The takeaway: As I have pointed out in many posts on MSG and throughout my ongoing research into content discovery, mobile search and personalization: context matters. Contextual information (what mobile operators have, by the way) is what Google lacks. The AdMob purchase covers all the bases to close this gap, paving the way for the delivery of mobile advertising everywhere – particularly on the Android platform.

TOUCH WEB RULES (?)

But what we should be asking ourselves is how this new realization that mobile is indeed different will likely impact the wider mobile Web. The advance of touchscreen devices, app stores and new advertising approaches/formats are all coming together in a new kind of interactive mobile Internet, a brave new place where new content, new experiences and even new mobile search services will set the bar.

In a September blog post AdMob referred to this Internet (the one we experience on iPhones and other touchscreen devices) as the “Middle Web.” This “space that lies between the full Web experience you find on a PC and the ad-less Web experience you remember from the first Web-enabled mobile phones.”

This new Web throws up as many issues as it does opportunities.

• What does it do to usability?
• What does it mean for mobile advertising and how do we make it easy and inviting for people to interact with company sites and ads?
• And one AdMob didn’t ask: What is the impact on mobile search?

Tough questions, but Taptu, a mobile search provider, has some of the answers in its series of white papers. Like AdMob and Google, Taptu shares the view that the advance of touchscreen devices, app stores and new advertising approaches/formats changes all the rules.

In this new Web – which Taptu calls the Touch Web – people demand optimized sites (for touchscreen devices) and specialized mobile advertising that makes the most of device functionality and all the features that make the Touch Web more interactive and potentially more exciting than the mobile Web. During my last trip to London, I caught up with Taptu CEO Steve Ives and Bob Last, Taptu SVP Business Development, to talk about the impact of everything in the middle of the Web on the future of the Internet.

This is serious business.

Taptu has crawled, indexed and graded websites (assessing factors such as their suitability for touch devices and their page weights –key since it impacts the speed of browsing on mobile network and the end-user experience) to create an index of Touch Web-friendly sites.  (Taptu counts 120,000 to date.)

To make sure Touch Web-friendly sites also figure highly in mobile search results Taptu has also fine-tuned its algorithms to “decide whether to return results from the Touch Web, the mobile Web or the wider Web” depending on factors such as the searcher’s device and what thy would likely appreciate.

To round out the experience Taptu is exploring innovative new ad formats for touch devices. In an MSG exclusive with Andreas Bernstrom, Taptu COO, treated me to a glimpse of how people might interact with ads on a touch device, a fascinating briefing I captured in this detailed post.

A highlight: Search results are displayed in a card format optimized for presentation on a touch device. I watched as Andreas not only breezed through the card results (depicting images and information in an easy-to-browse format); he could actually flip the cards over to see more details (say, the discography of a particular band or the tour dates of a group). And if you like what you see, then share it (!)  – Twitter it, post it to your personal site or just send it via email to your friends.

The bottom line: if mobile is different, then the Touch Web is a brave new world. Google (with AdMob) is well-prepared for the challenges and opportunities this new Web brings. At the other end of the spectrum, Taptu will most certainly be out of the gates first with a mobile search service (and advertising approach) that makes the most out of the Touch Web. Now the pressure is on companies across the ecosystem to do more than develop a strategy for mobile; they should also brainstorm on tactics to address/harness the unique characteristics of the Touch Web.

Look for more news from Taptu soon- Steve and Bob assure me there are some amazing things in the pipeline.

Disclaimer: MSG has contributed comments to the Taptu Touch Web white paper.

Comscore says that the iPhone represents a third of those touchscreen devices, while the top ten list is filled with a number of touchscreen featurephones. Source

The bottom line: These numbers shouldn’t be too surprising, as smartphones continue to grow in popularity, and touchscreens make their way into the featurephone segment. Peggy adds: The touch web is here and will likely require content, experiences and mobile search tools to make the most out of it. Watch MSG for more on the touch paradigm and the potential business opportunities for companies that get it right.

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THE NUMBER OF NEW APPLICATIONS STARTED FOR THE ANDROID PLATFORM NEARLY DOUBLED IN OCTOBER, according to mobile analytics firm Flurry. The company, which tracks application and developer activity in app stores and across multiple platforms, says it’s seeing a lot of iPhone developers beginning to work on Android apps.

Android is gaining a lot of momentum as more devices hit the market – particularly in the US, where Verizon Wireless has made quite a splash with its marketing campaign for the Motorola Droid, and is also introducing the HTC Droid Eris. Meanwhile, T-Mobile USA recently announced it would introduce carrier billing and some other measures to try and increase its Android customers’ downloads. Source

The bottom line: Mobile developers will go to where the users are – if the developer and distribution experience is easy and rewarding. Apple and Android are leading the way, while others (notably Nokia’s Ovi and Symbian) still trail behind.

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THE VALUE OF COUPONS REDEEMED VIA MOBILE WILL HIT $6 BILLION WORLDWIDE BY 2014, says Juniper Research. In a new report about mobile coupons and NFC-enabled “smart posters”, the firm says that ARPU from offers from NFC coupons and smart posters will exceed ARPU generated by NFC payments in 5 years.

Juniper says, though, there are some potential stumbling blocks: consumer apathy, lack of willingness to change and consumers having to learn a new payment method. Source

The bottom line: Another confirmation that the mobile device is destined to be a payment device we use at the point of impulse – once we overcome the hurdles, of course. Peggy adds: Look for an in-depth look at this topic and more in the Netsize Guide 2010, a must-read mobile industry almanac available for free download beginning February 2010.

The company also found that featurephones still drive 60 percent of its ad requests from the US. It accounts this to the pervasiveness of unlimited data plans there, in contrast to other regions around the world, where such plans aren’t in such wide use, or are mainly limited to smartphones. Source

The bottom line: First, some kudos to AdMob on the second anniversary of its useful analytics reports. When they launched in September 2007, the company had 1.6 billion ads served. Last month, it served 10.2 billion. That’s some hefty growth. Second, the high use of featurephones serves as a reminder to content providers and web developers that there’s still a market beyond iPhones, Pres and Android devices.

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THREE-FOURTHS OF EUROPEAN CONSUMERS WANT A SINGLE ADDRESS BOOK FOR ALL THEIR SOCIAL NETWORKS, according to a new survey from Critical Path, which has a single-address book solution for sale to operators. The company’s survey found that 75 percent of those surveyed “found the task of updating their contacts across their social networks frustrating”, and a slightly higher percentage wanted a solution that would sync them. Source

The bottom line: Address book fragmentation is a real issue for users who navigate multiple social networking services, and want them all to come together seamlessly on their mobile device. And operators like Vodafone, which recently took the wraps off its 360 service that does exactly this, realize this – and so too do device manufacturers (see Motorola’s BLUR service on its new Android devices).

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USERS’ SATISFACTION WITH THEIR SMARTPHONES IS VERY SEPARATE FROM THEIR SATISFACTION WITH THEIR SERVICE PROVIDER, according to a new survey of American mobile users from the CFI Group. The study found that the iPhone platform received the highest user satisfaction ratings (83 out of 100, 8 points higher than Android and Pre – presumably they meant WebOS), while AT&T had the lowest level of satisfaction among the top four US operators. AT&T scored a 73 among its non-iPhone users, but the score dropped to 69 among iPhone users. Source

The bottom line: Given the widespread complaints about AT&T from iPhone users, this report shouldn’t be too surprising. But it also shows how device exclusivity and operator branding can be a double-edged sword. While certainly the iPhone has driven users to AT&T, it may have not a lot of damage to its reputation by not being able to deliver a good experience to them. Consumers have become increasingly savvy to the multiple brands that live on their mobile device, and when they encounter a service issue, they point fingers at the operator, not the device maker.

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THE AUGMENTED REALITY MARKET WILL BE WORTH $350 MILLION IN 2014,  says ABI Research, up from just $6 million in 2008, thanks to the increasing capabilities of smartphone platforms. This $350 million will be divvied up among mobile apps ($190 million) and AR-based ad revenues ($160 million), the company says, as developers and marketers seek to capitalize on the technology. Source

The bottom line: AR still faces a lot of issues before it’s a huge commercial success – and many of them are the same as other location-based ad models which still haven’t come to fruition. There’s no doubt that there are some useful and cool potential applications of augmented reality, but as usual, there’s still a big leap to turning them into commercial revenues.

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ANDROID DEVICES WILL OUTSELL THE IPHONE BY 2012, according to recent predictions from Gartner. The firm says Android will be the second most-popular smartphone OS at that point, after Symbian, making up 18 percent of the market. Blackberry will come in third with about 14 percent, and iPhone in fourth at 13.6 million. Source

The bottom line: As long as Apple pursues what is, essentially, a single-device strategy, it won’t be the market leader when it’s up against other platforms found in a variety of form factors from multiple providers. At some point, if Apple wants to lead the market – at least in number of devices shipped – it will need to change course and increase the number of models in the marketplace.

Imagine a living room where a large flat screen wirelessly attached to a set top box hangs from the wall. You enter a personal code into the set top box that recognizes your profile; the screen welcomes you to a portal where there are no channels only menus with links to personalized content and apps that range from social networking to commerce to premium content and entertainment.  A blinking icon reminds to you to record Wimbledon while an ad from Wilson invites you to view their latest rackets.  As you click the record button, you slide out the keypad on your remote and navigate to the Wilson site where you purchase a new tennis racket.  Payment for the racket is included in your monthly cable invoice.

Sounds like science fiction?  Hardly.  We are on the cusp of next generation iTV (interactive television), services that will elevate our viewing experience. Advertising will also be transformed,  paving the way for two-way communications that enable brands to target households according to key demographics and other information collected by the set top box (STBs). Mobile devices, widely regarded to be the remote control of our digital lives, will surely play an important role in this scenario. (Mobile already has a central spot if we consider how people reach to their phones to cast their vote for talent shows, follow sports and read the gossip during soap operas.)

The promise of being able to access the wide open Internet and everything in between on your TV may be a while away, but the battle for the living room, the one that will decide who monetizes our content consumption and who cashes in on the commercial messages we consume, is being fought now.

Best positioned in my view are the cable companies, who have the trump because they own the signal into the home and have a trusted relationship with subscribers. They also benefit from established business partnerships with broadcast and cable network programmers, that receive billion-dollar fees for entertainment content.

But there are other players lining up to stake their turf. For example, Tier 1 service providers in North America and Europe are rolling out high-speed connections into the home as part of their multi-play strategies to deliver premium content and advertising services via IPTV (TV via the Internet). While the viewing experience for consumers might not be radically different, the opportunities for brands to deliver targeted and relevant advertising could get a boost since multiplay is about creating a holistic view of the customer by monitoring behavior across channels including mobile.

Little wonder that Internet giants are also lining up to own the living room experience. Navic (acquired by Microsoft), gives broadcast and network programmers a unified platform to distribute premium content and advanced advertising services across disparate cable systems.  And let’s not forget Google. Through its relationship with Dish Networks and Visible World, Google is  geared to provide brand advertisers with expanded reach and more precise demographic targeting aimed at satellite and cable subscribers.

These companies have their eye on the prize: knowing the customer first and best. But it’s not an easy goal to reach. Operators concerned about privacy issues are predictably reluctant to release STB data to marketers and industry partners. What’s more, cable’s legacy architecture presents a host of interoperability and scalability problems that must be overcome in order to provide brands national reach across regional cable companies.

So what is cable doing to overcome these challenges?

Although the space is crowding and the privacy/technology obstacles are significant, cable companies are nonetheless next positioned to win the battle for the living room. But how well prepared are they for the struggle ahead?

The cable industry along with CableLabs, the industry’s research and development arm, has developed several key initiatives to usher in the age of iTV. These efforts, already well underway, provide the standards and interfaces that will allow brands and publishers to conduct business via cable and better target their audience demographic.

To get the inside track on work in progress I recently spoke with Paul Delzio, Director of Business Development and Product Management at ARRIS, a provider of infrastructure and advanced advertising solutions to cable. As Paul put it: ARRIS and other solution providers are “helping operators build a superhighway to the home and throughout the home using modern architecture that will ensure an interactive future with robust subscriber services.”  As he sees it, operators will monetize this highway through differentiated data plans, digital TV fees and new revenue streams from t-commerce (tv commerce), advertising and billing.”

CableLabs’ development of tru2way, java-based middleware that will be integrated directly into next-generation TV sets, is a critical step in this process.  With it, subscribers will be able to interact with a wide range of applications such as program guides, commerce, games, Video on Demand (VOD) and web browsing, without the need for a set top box.  Naturally, the world’s largest TV manufacturers are on board to bring us this technology.  Panasonic, Toshiba, Sony, Sharp and Samsung are just a few of the players lining up to cash in on this opportunity. Look for a big push at retail this holiday season.

But not everyone is going to rush out and buy tru2way TVs. So, CableLabs has introduced EBIF (enhanced binary interchange format), a technology which is being integrated into STBs as we speak. In fact, 15 million units are projected to be installed throughout the U.S. by 2010.  EBIF will enable true interactivity through multimedia pages that resemble html, so the consumer experience will have a similar look-and-feel to what we get on the Web. The advantage for brands is lead generation because cable viewers can click on a marketing message, in the form of a static banner, and receive information or goodies in the mail.

According to Paul, this “Cable Advertising 1.0 (which makes use of snail mail to fulfill a consumer request for information) will open the doors for brands eager to justify TV spend.”  Marketers see the opportunity and have stepped up spend on advanced advertising solutions from ARRIS and its partners, which supports them with the same tools they know from online and mobile, such as campaign management, media planning, analytics and response measurement.

These Cable Advertising 1.0 ad products and fulfillment services have been wisely engineered to meet the needs of this emerging ecosystem and to provide user experiences we can appreciate via this medium. Graphic overlays on top of full motion TV commercials will allow viewers to click through to micro sites where they can request information or coupons which will be delivered in the mail, allowing advertisers to target demographic segments by selecting zip codes.

Interactivity will also play a role, but mobile won’t be a shoe-in here. Subscribers can also participate in voting and polling using their TV remote control. Will we really want to use the cable remote control for text messaging? The jury is out is out on this one, but it’s clear there is a laundry-list of usability issues that will have to be solved before the cable remote is our keypad of choice in the living room–particularly when you consider the sophisticated touch and tactile keypads next generation smartphones will provide.

Personalization and relevancy on the big screen

Where are brands in the equation? The good news is significant progress is being made on the new standards and interfaces that will allow brands and marketers to buy interactive and addressable advertising locally or across multiple cable operators. Spearheading this effort is a consortium of ecosystem partners including SCTE (Society of Cable Technical Engineers), systems manufacturers including ARRIS, Biap, BlackArrow and Sigma and Canoe Ventures, a joint venture funded by the cable operators.

For brands seeking national reach, Canoe Ventures is developing a platform for advertising stewardship and fulfillment across the top six cable operators in the U.S.  The platform will aggregate inventory and subscriber intelligence to provide brands with rich data services, localized messages, lead generation and fulfillment on a national basis.

The platform will also no doubt attract the attention of Web giants who want to get in on the action. In fact, Paul tells me it’s “inevitable that major retail portals like Amazon and Expedia will want to collaborate with operators to provide subscribers with a personalized shopping experience.” What will make this experience more enjoyable for consumers and more targeted for advertisers? The key to the equation is unlocking the rich assets — our transactions, interactions, browsing behavior and viewing history all captured in the STB.

And why wouldn’t they be there? After all, it’s much more enjoyable to view a HD large screen to select your next vacation rather than squint and scroll on a 15” laptop. Moreover, cable operators are in great position to expand their billing systems to accommodate billing partnerships with the leading online retailers. Now consumers can buy what they see on TV and add it their monthly bill (Does this sound familiar? Mobile operators are determined to leverage their billing relationship in a similar way.) Shoppers benefit from a consolidated bill from a trusted provider.  Brands will love this — a virtuous cycle of shopping, analysis, advertising and more shopping.

In fact, astute brand managers will see the synergies between cable and mobile. Leads collected from the TV can be fed into mobile advertising systems enabling brands to continue the conversation on an individual basis.  Additionally, mobile SMS will grow as sports and reality TV continue to prompt voting and polling.

What else is cable doing to hedge their bets?

While excitement around Cable Advertising 1.0 continues to grow, some cable operators are exploring their options. In July Time Warner Cable and Comcast joined up to launch “TV Everywhere”, an over the top service (that is, where content is going over the Internet and not through the STB) designed to give cable subscribers access to premium content online.  Content from  cable network programmers such as TBS, TNT and Starz, along with movies from HBO and Cinemax, will be made available to Comcast and Time Warner subscribers.  It is rumored that AT&T will jump on the band wagon, as well.

But, as Paul pointed out, over the top is both “an opportunity and a threat.” On the opportunity side, TV Everywhere will accomplish several important tasks; it will extend audience reach, allowing operators to further monetize ad revenue, while at the same time reinforcing brand loyalty.

As a threat, TV Everywhere will enable subscribers with tru2way TVs to access the Web and enjoy premium content at no cost.  Case in point is premium content provider Hulu. The company’s audience , which has doubled since launch to approximately 1.3 million daily visitors as of July (Quantcast), underlines the validity of the ad-supported business model.   Hulu advertisers include some of the world’s leading brands : Johnson & Johnson, McDonald’s, Visa, American Express, Best Buy, Chili’s, DirectTV, GM, Intel, Nissan, State Farm, Unilever, Wal-Mart, Cisco, and Procter & Gamble.

Plus, it doesn’t take much imagination to envision extending the concept of TV Everywhere to the mobile Internet. Combined with mobile’s portal personalization and recommendation engines (already delivering good user experiences to millions of subscribers in Europe and Asia), premium content streamed over the mobile Internet would provide the broad reach brands have been waiting for. Major Tier 1 service providers planned CAPEX investments in LTE can be subsidized in, no small way, by interactive video advertising dynamically inserted into premium content on the handset.  

Bottom line: who will dominate the living room?

At the end of the day, the battle for the living room will be determined by sophisticated personalization and recommendation engines that understand our preferences and profiles and serve us relevant content and marketing messages.

When operators append third-party retail data to subscriber demographics and STB viewing patterns, then the vision of personalization begins to get interesting.  Comcast Spotlight, in fact, is leading the way by appending third-party data from Experian to improve household targeting.  It’s easy to imagine households that frequently purchase from Toys R Us are a good bet for family products or mini vans.  And personalization technologies will connect the dots for sure.

While the wide spread adoption of tru2way is good news for cable operators it is also good news for telcos and premium publishers.  Sure, subscribers will be free to browse off-portal.  But why bother?  A rich and personalized portal with premium content, entertainment, shopping, social networking, video on demand and other services, will make browsing the Internet irrelevant.

So, who will dominate the living room?  Cable is in the driver’s seat – for now.  In view of somewhat difficult (but not insurmountable) environmental challenges, time will tell if they will be able to deliver the vision of a personalized portal with robust services supported by advertising,  If they don’t, the leading telcos that follow a multiplay strategy and Internet players will be just a few clicks away.

Jim Levey, formerly Director of Product Marketing for Search and Digital Advertising at Amdocs, joins the roster of authors and influencers contributing news, analysis and thought leadership to MSearchGroove. He comments on developments in personalization, recommendation and mobile advertising.

The bottom line: Finally Google reveals the terms that deliver results in mobile search. But mobile search usage is still lagging, no doubt due to a laundry-list of universal shortcomings MSearchGroove has analyzed in this recent post. The new Google Keywords Tool is good news for marketers and publishers, but another proof that mobile search as a service has a way to go. Peggy adds: Or does it simply underline the pivotal importance of content discovery – not mobile search – as a primary means to explore the wealth of content at our finger tips and find what we are likely to appreciate?

***

MORE THAN HALF OF INDIAN COLLEGE STUDENTS USE THE MOBILE WEB, says a new survey from Indian mobile ad firm InMobi, and a third of the students engage with brands that advertise online. The students’ favorite sites to visit on their mobile devices are search engines, news sites and social networks, and the company says that mobile internet usage is spread across a multitude of income groups. Source

The bottom line: More evidence pointing to the popularity of the mobile internet in emerging markets, and the ability of mobile ads to reach consumers there.

***

MOBILE APP STORE SALES WILL HIT $4.2 BILLION IN 2013 in the US alone, says a new report from the Yankee Group. It calls the sales growth, along with a quadrupling of US smartphone users to 160 million, a “gold rush”. The firm also offers some advice to developers: they say those with consumer apps should focus on BlackBerry, while enterprise developers should focus on the iPhone and Android platforms, because of the lack of those types of apps for each respective platform. They also add that pricing and marketing are important considerations for success.

The company says that one out of four downloads in 2013 will be for paid apps, and predicts an average price then of $2.37. It also puts the value of this year’s US download market at $343 million. Source

The bottom line: This is a very bullish prediction, without a doubt. The 160 million smartphone figure is pretty brazen and clearly based on the belief that most devices sold over the next four years in the US will be smartphones. The advice about choosing platforms seems a little odd, considering that to drive downloads and sales, developers may be better off going where the users they want to target are.

—–

ONE OUT OF FOUR PEOPLE INTENDING TO MAKE A PURCHASE IN MOBILE OPERATORS’ SHOPS LEAVE WITHOUT BUYING, according to a new report from Amdocs. The company says that retailers could save half of those lost sales opportunities by improving the customer experience (and, of course, Amdocs has a solution for that — you didn’t think it was just sharing this info for fun, right?). It cites the main reasons for the lost sales as an inability to get a device right away, the inability to get the “touch and feel” of a device before buying, and a lack of experts to consult about devices’ features. Source

The bottom line: The reasons Amdocs sites as barriers to purchase all ring true — and combined with the general unpleasantness of many operator retail outlets thanks to long lines, dummy devices, and other factors, it’s not hard to see why many would-be buyers end up frustrated.

***

CONSUMERS WILL DRIVE MOBILE HEALTH SERVICES FORWARD, NOT COMMERCIAL PRODUCTS, says the analyst firm Berg Insight. Remote medical monitoring and diagnostics have been hyped for quite some time, but the applications and devices have been slow to emerge. The firm suggests instead that it’s consumer applications, such as smartphone apps and networked personal medical devices, that will lead the way. Source

The bottom line: The personal, always-on, always-with-us nature of mobile devices makes them perfect for medical applications, while their growing functionality makes them ever more useful in this area. In addition, software apps promise to deliver many of the benefits of dedicated mobile hardware at a lower price to consumers.

***

65 PERCENT OF APP DOWNLOADERS ARE MALES AGED 18-34, says GetJar. This demographic is prized by many marketers, even though they often find it difficult to reach, suggesting that apps are a great way to do so. 81 percent of all downloaders were male, while almost two-thirds of them download apps 3-4 times a week. GetJar’s research also found that 72 percent of its app downloaders use the mobile internet more than the internet on PCs — and this isn’t just limited to emerging markets, with 62 percent of US GetJar users and 69 percent of UK ones agreeing. Source

The bottom line: It’s clear that GetJar has some seriously dedicated users, who could serve as a useful bellwether for the overall apps market. It’s not too surprising to see the young male dominance — but also suggests that developers and app stores may not be doing a great job of reaching other demographics.

Mobile advertising must deliver value.

It’s the key takeaway that has run through each of the 20+ industry events I have attended/chaired over the past year like a leitmotiv. However, the value of mobile advertising is changing.

At first, many brands/agencies were convinced that their value proposition was inextricably linked to their level of cool. In line with this mindset, they focused on fun campaigns around free content such as branded games, ringtones and images, as well as some viral elements people could pass around to their friends.

The strategy has paid dividends for brands such as Coca-Cola.

A textbook example is the Fanta Stealth Sound System, which harnessed high-pitched frequencies that are audible only to youth thus providing young people a new way to communicate with each other without adults listening in. Another campaign that generated buzz (and impressive results) was Fanta Virtual Tennis. The world’s first 3D augmented reality tennis game let players use their mobile devices as tennis racquets to hit a virtual ball.

COKE MOBILE MILESTONES

At Mobile Marketing Forum (MMF) Europe, Hinde Pagani, Coca-Cola Senior Mobile Marketing Manager, Global Interactive Marketing, treated attendees to a string of case studies that included these gems. But the real excitement was about simple SMS campaigns that employed a mechanism known as UTC, or under the cap (unique codes inserted under each soft drink bottle cap) to engage people and increase brand trust.

Coke still offers its demographic fun, free content. (It boasts three iPhone apps, including a runaway success that has been downloaded 500,000 times in two months – without promotion!) But it’s campaigns that combine free content with free airtime that are the real crowd-pleasers. In fact, this winning combination has allowed Coke in India to count a whopping 5 million responses in just four months. Coke in Germany has also run a similar campaign, offering customers three minutes or three SMS free of charge.

Read between the lines, and value has new meaning. It’s still about delivering cool content, but it’s also about delivering a service that teens (and their parents) appreciate.  As Hinde put it: “(With these campaigns) we gain teens’ trust and please their moms.”

PROCTER & GAMBLE CAMPAIGNS

Another company that benefits from a sharp focus on sensible service is P&G.

In fact, the presentation from Dagmara Brylak, Proctor & Gamble’s CEEMEA Mobile Subject Matter Expert, was my personal favorite because it illustrated how brands can deliver value by providing guidance, advice and education. (All the more important that brands take this responsibility since the mobile screen is the only screen in emerging markets.)

Case in point: an ingenious text-to-win campaign for Pampers diapers in the Philippines to increase brand loyalty and boost sales. Rather than offer the usual mix of coupons, free samples and assorted goodies, P&G cleverly chose to focus on what matters most to young mothers: their babies.

Understanding the importance of higher education in the region and the anxiety of new mothers about their toddler’s future, P&G offered participants the chance to win a free university scholarship for their child. Predictably, the campaign was an overwhelming success.

But it didn’t stop there. To create an on-going dialogue with the customer P&G launched a brilliant campaign to deliver young mothers healthcare information relevant to their own baby’s stage of development. (Moms gladly volunteered their baby’s date of birth to P&G because the value-add they received in return was so significant.)

Connect the dots, and P&G delivers more than a mobile advertising message. It delivers a public service that customers appreciate.

MMA LEARNINGS & LUFTHANSA

After the event I caught up with Paul Berney MMA Managing Director, Europe, after the event to compare notes and observations. Kudos to Paul and his team for organizing a high-caliber event that showcased key learnings and best practice from an exciting roster of global brands including Nike Turkey, Coca-Cola, BMW, Lufthansa, Proctor & Gamble, Autotrader, Deutsche Post, Pepsi, Nestlé and BBC Worldwide, to name a few.

We agreed that this event (with its impressive line-up of brands and solid focus on ROI, response rates and other key metrics) represented a welcome departure from the hype that has characterized the vast majority of mobile advertising events.

As Paul put it: There is a “groundswell of understanding” among brands and agencies that mobile is part of the marketing mix. More importantly, brands are thinking through where “mobile fits in the customer journey.”

An excellent example is Lufthansa. At the MMF Marcus Casey, Lufthansa Head of E-Commerce and Mobile, walked us through the airline’s end-to-end mobile-only service that allows people to check in, select their seats and receive a boarding pass directly to their mobile phone in only five steps. Some figures that speak volumes (literally):

•    Pageviews: approx. 1.5 million per month
•    Number of customers using the mobile boarding pass service: 90,000 per month with 60 percent email and 40 percent via SMS
•    Visits since launch: +11 percent growth month over month (steady)

Encouraged by these results Marcus said Lufthansa will focus efforts on moving its mobile service portal into a full-fledged sales channel, complete with up-to-date travel information, commerce (to book flights on the fly) and after-sales extras including baggage tracing.

The takeaway: A paradigm shift takes places when technology becomes invisible in our lives. I would argue the same holds true for truly valuable mobile advertising. When it is so firmly established in our lives, then we can conclude that the industry is out of the bowling alley and well across the chasm. (To borrow from the must-read high-tech marketing book by Geoffrey A. Moore.)

The MMF showcased many positive examples of what can happen when mobile is properly integrated in the customer journey. Brands that get this right deliver real value – and examples such as P&G open up a world of possibilities.

P&G has placed mobile at the center of an exciting value proposition that transforms adverting into educational content. Mobile isn’t another screen – it is the way mothers in the Philippines learn how to care for their babies. Put another way, the P&G brand message has become part of the how these people live their lives.

Granted, fun is still a selling point. (As Marc Mielau, BMW Head of Digital Media, pointed out: Mobile advertising value is about “saving time or killing time,” so lots of potential in campaigns that entertain us or simplify our lives.) But it may be the more common-sense campaigns (tuned into the lifestyles, life stages and personal concerns of the people they want to reach) that deliver real value and real results.

***

By way of background, Marc’s full presentation (and video) is available here. A highlight: his lessons learned at a glance.

1.    Mobile does not function in a vacuum.
2.    Mobile marketing has to deliver value. (Sound familiar?)
3.    Megaportals are helpful as distribution channels.
4.    Users want to get inspired and involved.
5.    If you cannot track it – kill it!

***
Note: I also joined with bnetTV to conduct interviews during the event with companies including Mobixell and Alcatel Lucent, video segments I will showcase on MSearchGroove over the next weeks. bnetTV has also partnered with the MMA to create a compilation DVD (of speaker presentations and exclusive interviews) you can purchase here.

Finally, I encourage companies across the mobile advertising ecosystem to contact me directly with case studies and story ideas. I have some exciting projects in the works and I’m eager to hear what YOU have to say.

The bottom line: The ARPU metric has been under fire for some time, not least because it only looks at revenues, and says nothing about profitability. Consumers having multiple connections is a trend that will proliferate, as more users get 3G dongles, e-book readers and other types of connected devices. This trend could accelerate the move towards another key metric in the industry.

***

MOBILE MAPPING GROWING, BUT PC SITES STILL RULE, according to ABI Research. The firm says that internet mapping sites will get 440 million monthly visitors next year. ABI has also noted that while big names like Google, Mapquest, Sohu and Baidu currently dominate the mapping space, more and more players, such as navigation vendors like TomTom and NAVTEQ, and even mobile companies like Nokia, are launching their own navigation sites. Source

The bottom line: Expect mobile use to fuel the next stage of growth in mapping services, as more and more devices get GPS functionality, making maps so much easier to use, and mobile mapping applications improve. PC mapping isn’t going anywhere, but mapping on the mobile makes much more sense in many scenarios. This calls into question the need for standalone GPS units – which is why GPS vendors are pushing hard into the mobile space.

***
COMPANIES ARE HAPPIER WITH THEIR ROI FROM MOBILE ADS THAN FROM TRADITIONAL MEDIA ADS, says a new report from the Aberdeen Group. Nearly two thirds of top-performing companies, such as Coke and Best Buy, said they’re satisfied with the average return on investment they’re seeing from mobile marketing, compared to just 40 percent satisfaction with traditional media ad ROI. This helps explain why 62 percent of those companies are increasing their mobile marketing budgets. Source

The bottom line: Mobile marketing has a couple of really big benefits going for it: it can be relatively inexpensive, but more importantly, it gets results. By building interactive campaigns that seek to do more than just hit consumers with a broadcast message, mobile marketers can deliver strong results, and track those results more accurately than with traditional media ads.

***
THE GREEN FASCINATION WON’T EXCLUDE MOBILE, according to Juniper Research. The company says that by 2014, global shipment of environmentally sustainable mobile devices will reach 485 million per year by 2014 in a best-case scenario. Even with more tepid interest, Juniper says sales will hit 105 million that year. Source

The bottom line: Will this growth really be powered by consumer demand, or will it simply be the effect of sustainability making its way deeper and deeper into all types of consumer products and electronics? Either way, it’s certainly a welcome trend.

***
MOBILE MARKETING FORUM EUROPE SHOWCASES SURPRISING STATS and results to write home about. Peggy is working on a more in-depth analysis of the milestones and best practice major brands (including Lufthansa, BMW, Nike, Coca Cola and P&G) shared during this important event. In the meantime, here is a rundown of the facts and figures that speak volumes about the increasing use and effectiveness of mobile in brand campaigns.

• Nike spent 30 percent of their marketing budget for the phenomenally successful Human race campaign on mobile.
• Coke reported a 7.4 percent increase in brand equity after the rollout of a mobile campaign. It also counted 500,000 downloads of a branded app with no media spend, demonstrating the tremendous viral value of mobile campaigns.
• BMW revealed about half of 500,000 views of a video to promote its Z4 model car were on mobile.
• P&G noted a whopping 80 percent increase in brand recognition among individuals who had interacted with the brand via a mobile game. It also recorded an incredible 80 percent savings by using mobile (instead of traditional channels) to promote and manage a free product sample giveaway campaign in Thailand.
• Lufthansa, which has fully integrated mobile in the passenger check-in process, reported 11 percent of total check-in is performed by people on their mobile phones.

Source

The bottom line: Peggy will have her take on Monday, but from my vantage point these are impressive proof points that underline the central position of mobile in the marketing mix.

The firm adds that the mobile Internet audience in the U.S. is now a third of the size of the wired Internet market, with the gap narrowing by the early part of the next decade. Source

The bottom line: No big surprises here, but some good insight into US mobile usage – in particular, the mobile internet audience is already a big target market for content providers and advertisers.
***
DON’T FORGET BLACKBERRY WEB USERS, says mobile web firm Bango. The company says BlackBerrys now account for 14 percent of all mobile web traffic, pulling ahead of the iPhone. Given the length of time BlackBerry has been in the market, plus the fact that essentially every such device comes with an unlimited data plan, it’s perhaps a little more surprising that the iPhone was ever ahead of the entire BlackBerry range. Source

The bottom line: Once again, we’re reminded that the mobile web is a lot more than just the iPhone, and that users of other devices generate significant traffic for publishers and content providers. It’s also another reminder that fragmentation among devices and the multitude of mobile web browsers on the market isn’t going away anytime soon!

***
TWO-THIRDS OF TWITTER USERS ARE UNDER 25, says eMarketer – or at least they were in May – while a tiny group of the service’s users account for most of its activity. Just 1.1 percent of Twitter users update more than 10 times per day, while 85 percent do so less than once per day; consequently, 5 percent of Twitter users account for 75 percent of its activity.

There’s also a small class of the most popular users: just 0.68 percent have more than 1,000 folllowers, while nearly 94 percent have less than 100 followers. Going the other way, the same trends hold true. 92 percent of users follow less than 100 others, while 0.77 follow more than 1,000. Source

The bottom line: The usage figures throw a little bit of cold water on the idea that Twitter is a huge runaway hit among the wider web public, since apparently it’s really only heavily used by a small percentage of users. The 85 percent that don’t update daily also points to the service having a lot of dropouts or inactive users.

***
SMARTPHONE USERS WANT TO TALK TO THEIR DEVICES, says a new survey sponsored by speech-recognition vendor TellMe Networks. The survey says that three-fourths of people would choose a smartphone with speech-recognition and control features, while a similar majority wouldn’t be uncomfortable speaking commands into their phone in a restaurant.  Source

The bottom line: A survey sponsored by a speech-recognition vendor could hardly be expected to find anything other than interest in the technology, but as the features become more pervasive, awareness and usage would be expected to increase. There certainly are situations when speech commands make sense – in a car, for instance.

***

MORE THAN HALF OF SOCIAL NETWORK USERS HAVE BEFRIENDED A BRAND, says a recent report from eMarketer. Almost as many have said something positive about a brand on a social-networking site, while almost a quarter have said something negative.

The report casts some doubt on the widely held view that people don’t have a lot of interest in conversing with or “friending” companies, brands and products online. Source

The bottom line: While there’s a certain amount of apparent interest among social-networking users – or really, web users in general, in interacting with brands online, these figures shouldn’t be used by marketers as a justification to jump into social networking without a careful plan and strategy. This interest shouldn’t translate into free reign for companies to invade users’ personal online spaces, especially when there’s still a lot of room for them to damage their brands by doing so.

***

INDIA WILL BE A LEADING MOBILE CONTENT MARKET BY 2013, says analyst firm mobileSQUARED, generating $2.37 billion in mobile content revenues then, compared to $835.8 million this year. Additionally, the firm reports that the number of Indian subscribers will grow from 400 million now to 700 million by the end of 2010.

Leading the way in mobile content will be ringback tones, the firm says, with ringtones, graphics and wallpapers making big contributions. One major threat, though: Indian operators’ cut of content revenues, which the company says is normally more than 70% for on-portal content, or content billed through premium SMS. Source

The bottom line: The opportunity on the subcontinent is huge – but will the market move more quickly past the types of content listed above, and on to apps and ad-supported content?

Only a few weeks since I teamed up with Inma Martinez – a leading digital media strategist and advisor to venture capitalists who has been referred to as a “free radical” by Red Herring and Fast Company – to co-host Mobile Groove. The overwhelming positive response to our no-holds-barred monthly podcast (which speaks out on developments impacting the mobile industry/investment community at all levels) is encouraging and we are gearing up for our September podcast, a program sure to showcase the highlights of the events and exclusive interviews/briefings/chats Inma and I experience first-hand over the next weeks.

Inma has been invited to attend Mobilize in San Francisco (September 10), a conference that explores the industry vision for the future of wireless and also offers 10 cool startups a platform as part of the Launchpad. As review of these companies (which include: Pageonce, mataio, Waze, Toktumi Line2, Glympse, Ondeego, Square Connect, Locle, IQ Engines and Distimo) shows: the real innovation is in the mix-ups and mash-ups at the intersection of content and context. Inma and I will integrate her observations and first-hand encounters with entrepreneurs into the next in the Mobile Groove series, so be sure to connect with her during the show. To meet up or catch up, email her directly at imartinez AT stradbrokeadvisors DOTcom.

While I won’t make the trip, I have teamed up with the organizers to promote this and all GigaOM events going forward. All have assembled world class speakers and all will be prominently featured on MSearchGroove. (For example, this week’s conference features keynotes by Sanjay Jha, CEO of Motorola and Cole Brodman, CTO of T-Mobile, presentations that anchor a stellar line up of telecoms and web industry speakers including Andy Rubin, co-Founder of Android and Len Lauer, COO of Qualcomm.) Thanks to Surj Patel MSearchGroove readers can register for a special $100 discount on the ticket price. Please click here to take advantage of this offer (standard: $545), and be sure to enter the discount code: MPSALZ100.

While Inma makes her way to Mobilize, I am gearing up for the Mobile marketing Forum (MMF) Europe in Berlin (September 9-10) -  a Mobile Marketing Association (MMA) event that brings together a who’s who of mobile companies, operators.

In addition to my own one-on-ones and a lunch with Mike Wehrs, MMA President and Chief Executive Officer, I also look forward to conducting industry interviews with long-time MSearchGroove friend and partner bnetTV, the online destination for quality industry news and commentary. (Over the past two years I have worked with the bnetTV team to create some 40 video interviews, segments that I invite you to explore in the bnetTV video jukebox featured in the right-hand sidebar on the homepage.)

The filming schedule is hectic, but exciting (!), and features interviews with senior execs from companies including (in no special order) AdMob, GetJar, AKQA, We Love Mobile, Openwave and Out There Media. We have a super-busy schedule, but some slots are still available, so please contact me directly (peggy ATmsearchgroove DOTcom) to schedule a video interview.

I look forward to seeing you there!

When I first met Inma Martinez at Mobile 2.0 Europe I was struck by the depth of her knowledge and the strength of her determination to speak her mind. I made the decision to work with her at some level. A few in-person meetings in London (where she is based) and many Skype chats later we are proud to take the wraps off Mobile Groove, a monthly podcast series here at MSearchGroove that will provide short, digestible and insightful commentary on what’s hot in news, investments and developments impacting the mobile space at all levels.

Mobile Groove will air on the last Friday of every month and consist of three thought-provoking segments: The Big Picture, a wrap of the month’s news and views; Street Groove, an informed discussion of the companies and technologies sure to rock the mobile space; and The Radar, a roundup of talk on the street and what is highest on investors’ radars.

OUTRAGEOUS & INSIGHTFUL

The first in the series kicks of with a look at the the rise and fall of ad-funded MVNO Blyk, the controversy surrounding voice-to-text provider Spinvox and an in-depth look at the key platform players (Apple, Google and Microsoft) – specifically the news via Taiwan handset makers that Microsoft plans to adopt a dual platform strategy to promote its Windows Mobile OS (operating system) and, thus, take aim at both Android- and iPhone-based platforms.

Inma, who stands out as an über-connected advisor to venture capital firms, also gives us the inside track a new fund by entrepreneurs for entrepreneurs that may spell relief for European startups and smart people with brilliant ideas.

We joined forces to provide industry commentary and insights on the top market news in the mobile industry. But it doesn’t mean you can’t get involved. We welcome your ideas, suggestions and elevator pitches. DM us on Twitter(@mobilegroove)or email us at mobilegroove@msearchgroove.com.

Listen to the podcast here. [22:25]

A ROUND OF THANKS

And finally, thanks (again!) to Inma, for the energy and excellent ideas. Thanks to Annette Kramer, a Stradbroke Partner and presentation coach, for her kind offer to do the intro and outro to our podcast series; and to Alfred DeRose, Brian Avery and the team of professionals at Tego Interactive, a company helping to build businesses – including mine – through converged Web and mobile solutions. The company has been instrumental in creating some new features and functionality (including a mobile site) for MSearchGroove, with more soon to come, so please check back regularly.

And a special thanks to RealWire, an MSG partner and supporter whose global news release distribution service (specializing in the online media and mobile) consistently delivers reach, audience and exceptional analytics. MSG uses RealWire for all press releases, and I recommend you do the same.

For now our podcast will be accessible via the MSearchGroove web site home page. In September Mobile Groove will also be available for download via a dedicated iTunes channel.

Regular readers will know that I work with a variety of organizations and publications, evaluating companies and candidates for awards ranging from the Meffys (awarded by the Mobile Entertainment Forum to recognize excellence and innovation in mobile entertainment and services) to the Smaato Mobile Advertising Awards (recognizing the best in mobile Web and in-app advertising) to the EContent 100 (a list of the 100 companies that matter most in the digital content industry).

I am proud that EContent named me to its panel of judges to evaluate the 100+ candidates across the categories: classification & taxonomy; collaboration; content commerce; content creation, production, & digital publishing; content delivery; content management; content security; fee-based info services; intranets & portals; mobile content; search engines & technologies; and social media. I’d like to take this opportunity to thank the many mobile and Internet companies that have contacted me to be considered for inclusion in the list, and issue a final call for candidates.

Round 1 of the judging wraps up on September 1, so please reach out to me this week. (Please note that your contacting me does not compel me to put any company name on the final list of contenders and, of course, in no way guarantees that any company will be named to the list.)

This year my participation in the judging team has not only introduced me to a number of new mobile industry innovators (companies you’ll see profiled on MSearchGroove in the coming weeks). It has also exposed me to new thinking about digital content creation and distribution.

The industry is at a critical crossroads. A milestone that speaks volumes: the storm brewing the media and digital industries after Rupert Murdoch’s very public announcement (after posting record losses of $203 million last quarter) that his News Corporation intends to charge for online newspaper content.

WILL WE PAY FOR CONTENT?

Artesian Solutions, a company specialized Web-based market intelligence and surveillance software (automating the process of search through machine-based surveillance), has an interesting take. Artesian CEO Andrew Yates issued a statement today arguing that Murdoch’s brave strategy may just (literally) literally pay dividends.

As Andrew puts it: Murdoch’s play is “based around ‘quality’ and this is tough call for a commodity that people are not currently prepared to pay for…. However he argues that one positive consequence of charging for content is that through targeted information and the learned behaviors of the subscribers, newspapers will be able to build a 24 hour, 7 days a week relationship (rather than once in the morning) with the subscriber and therefore tailor content to the demands of those paying for the service. The subscriber will get what they want, when they want it on whatever device they chose. Surely, this will be good for the consumer.”

Intrigued by this view I caught up with Andrew to ask why he can be so sure that we – people that have grown up accustomed to free content, search and social networking services – will change our habits and pay for news, for example. A few minutes into the call we were passionately debating the pivotal importance of personalization, relevancy and context – and the value they bring to our content experiences across platforms and devices.

CONTEXT & RELEVANCE

Artesian, for example, has built a B2B business model on providing its clients content in tune with their profiles, preferences and strategic focus. Using a variety of tools and techniques (advanced algorithms, natural language search the order and frequency of keywords, for example) Artesian effectively filters out information that we don’t want and gives us what we do.

In this scenario, the value of content is its quality – which is a function of context and relevance. Put another way, customers pay for genuinely useful content and they pay a premium for the choice of having what they need where and when they need it. With this in mind, the next deliverable on the Artesian roadmap is a service that delivers a daily dose of information to customers on their portable devices (PDA, smartphone, iPhone etc…).

My take: Artesian is one of a new breed of cool companies that makes its money by making choices for us to provide us choice content we appreciate. By spidering the indexes relevant to our interests and objectives (and not attempting to index or deliver the entire Web), companies such as Artesian are defining paid-content models that hold a great deal of promise for publishers everywhere (particularly in mobile). I would certainly pay for a daily dose of exactly what I want (gleaned from the sources I know and trust, as well the social media spaces, such as Twitter) delivered to my BlackBerry. All the more valuable if the technology employs explicit and implicit personalization (as Artesian does). Will we, as my close colleague Alan Moore suggested, pay for quality content? I vote ‘yes.’ As they say in Cologne, where I am based: What costs nothing, is nothing.

KOOABA MAKES MEDIA INTERACTIVE

Another value to focus on (because it can pave the way to effective/engaing advertising and increased revenues for publishers) is interactivity.

The merging of the digital and physical worlds is a hot topic at MSearchGroove and a big part of the Netsize Guide 2010. (Netsize has commissioned me to write it for the third year running and we just kicked off this exciting project at a meeting at Netsize HQ in Paris last week). But it’s more than a good read; it’s a great business model for the companies that can bridge those worlds.

Kooaba, a visual search and image recognition company and I have had high on my radar from the start (and that goes back almost two years), has an approach that spells good news for old media (specifically, print) anxious to get more mileage out of their content assets.

It’s hot off the presses (no pun intended!) and I caught up with Herbert Bay, Kooaba CEO and founder, to get the inside track on this new Kooaba and where it’s heading.

By way of background, Kooaba, which offers the Kooaba App for the iPhone and other devices, is strong in image recognition. It’s one of a number of companies providing the technology that allows people to interact with content and advertising using their cameraphones, paving the way for the all-important transaction.

(Little wonder why Amazon acquired visual search company Snaptell last month and this month released Amazon App for Android, an app that includes the experimental Amazon Remembers feature. With it people have two ways they can use their device camera to find and remember items available for sale on Amazon.com: they can either snap a photo of an item or scan a barcode.)

Kooaba’s new-look website is chock-full with information about the Kooaba App and case studies from clients ranging from BMW and EMI to Heineken – all a testament to the power of this technology to enable advertising and encourage commerce.

But the real news for me is Interactive print, Kooaba’s solution that effectively gives old print media a new lease on life.

In practice, people capture the content with their cameraphones and Kooaba makes the connection between the printed content and the cool interactive stuff it links to (videos, interviews, and special offers/discounts – the works). Additional functionality in the back-end lets people search, archive and even share this content. Read a job offer in the classifieds, save it for yourself in your personal library or share it on Facebook. Read an interview, get one-click access to the video and then pass it around.

Will people pay for that interactivity? Perhaps… But it’s likely the real money will come from advertisers willing to pay a premium to deliver a more interactive advertising experience and – more importantly – measure the results. (Kooaba’s solution has analytics/tracking baked in.)
Herbert is bullish about the power shift that can happen when publishers are back in charge of their content and their advertising revenues (as opposed to aggregators and search engine companies.).

But I am even more excited about the potential for interactive learning. This technology can literally make books come alive! (A wonderful boost to the quality of education in the developing world.)

The bottom line: Relevancy rules! Whether it’s built into the algorithms that allow companies such as Artesian charge for relevant content or architected into Kooaba’s solution that makes print content contextually-aware (because it can morph to match the context of the people who activate it with their cameraphones), we want what we want and will gravitate to those companies that can give it to us.

In brief: In line with MSearchGroove’s ongoing and in-depth look at smart toolbars, personalized portals and the players that set the bar for these technologies, regular columnist and contributor Jim Levey shows a robust economic system (and new content distribution model) is emerging with personalization at its core.

These portals have developed large online communities by empowering users with self-service tools that enable them to create their own personalized homepages chock full of content that is dynamic, up-to-date and consistently relevant to their preferences.  This is achieved thanks to widgets that interoperate with specific applications such as search, weather, finance and social networks.

Fast forward and it’s the same model in mobile – although mobile markets in Europe and Asia have stolen the lead on North America (at least for now).

Why are operators outside the U.S. so far ahead in the delivery of content experiences that users appreciate? In my view, mobile operators, particularly in Europe, have embraced path-breaking personalization solutions that implicitly push relevant content to subscribers based on their browsing behavior. But their business objectives don’t stop at delivering a satisfactory mobile user experience (because it is personalized); they are further harnessing these solutions to deliver targeted advertising that potentially drives results.

Put the two together, (personalized mobile experiences and advertising messages targeted to users based on their content consumption), and you have the capabilities mix to satisfy users and – at the same time – create a sizeable market conditioned to accept relevant advertising. (And isn’t this exactly what brands have been waiting for?)

Put simply, by collecting and wielding terabytes of data, which reflect subscribers’ mobile Internet habits, operators can lay the groundwork for contextual ad serving.

The endgame is all about delivering users content they want and advertising they will appreciate. But these business benefits can come at a price. This mass customization requires network resources and bandwidth beyond what most operators anticipated or can afford. Clearly, users who can finally get the content they like are eager to explore the wealth of content and apps at their fingertips. This results in increased usage, challenging operators to think of new ways to generate new revenue streams (potentially to offset bandwidth costs or at least invest in network upgrades which will become a top priority if advertising on mobile becomes video-centric).

WHO FOOTS THE BILL?

Against this backdrop, the big question becomes: Who is going to pay for it all? Some mobile operators are betting on differentiated pricing and data plans (which require users the foot the bill) to solve this problem. However, this is hardly a long-term sustainable model in an age where free is the norm. Ad-supported content and business models are the way forward.

The real money is with the brands.  But, as we all know, brands are sitting on the sidelines waiting for the mobile industry to provide reach, standards, accountability and access to customer data. High marks to U.K. mobile operators who are trying to achieve this with the GSMA, but it’s a work in progress and it’s not clear if brands can wait.

So, why are operators slow to get onboard and get thinking about ad-funded models?

It’s clear: Operators are caught between a rock and a hard place. On one hand, they are sitting on stockpiles of data that can power personalization and ad serving engines.  On the other hand, while operators know brands would like to get their hands on this data, they also know their subscribers trust them to act responsibly with their personal information. Indeed, the blogosphere tells us some people are even spooked by personally relevant content and advertising. (Interestingly, many more reports show consumers see huge value in receiving content such as coupons and vouchers relevant to their location or intent to buy.)

Naturally, some mobile operators have responded to this with a wait-and-see strategy. Others, however, have turned a problem into an opportunity, using personalization solutions that anonymize customer data, to develop sharper segmentation and deliver mobile content experiences that set the bar.

These solutions make sense because they encourage subscribers to browse the mobile Internet freely, while at the same time anchoring them to their operator’s portal start page because the experience (in tune with their lifestyles) is so good. Beyond this, some personalization solutions harness widgets (in the form of a widget toolbar, for example) to enhance this experience by delivering fresh content to the handset and take the tedium out of navigating the mobile Internet.

MARKET PERSPECTIVE

What is the value proposition and how has the market reacted? I recently caught up with Joel Brand, Product Manager at Bytemobile — a provider of network-based service delivery platforms that enable the delivery of value-added servcies –  to get his perspective on this next mega-trend.

The way Joel sees it, mobile content personalization is “a subtle approach to marketing.” Subtle here means a trust-based give and take.

From the get-go this conversation – which we recall is based on a deep understanding of behavior and personal preferences/tastes — is a rewarding exchange that respects the individual and further rewards them with a fulfilling mobile experience that is perfectly in tune with their lifestyles.
As a result, the line between content and advertising blurs and the individual welcomes both because there is no noticeable difference. Both are relevant, useful and enriching. With this the groundwork is laid for an ongoing brand dialogue that can continue at other times and in other sessions. Quid pro quo.

What is the user experience when content and advertising combine? Joel offers this. “If a subscriber is browsing mobile travel sites [then] the system may push content from Expedia or Club Med.” Similarly, , if the user purchases South African jazz ringtones, the system can work with a third-party ad network to serve a marketing message about FreshlyGround, a hot band from South Africa. The possibilities are limitless because it’s tailored to each individual.

Put another way, the goal is to blend content with marketing messages in a non-intrusive fashion. The content is informative; the advertising is informative and the message is welcomed.  Advertising works best when it is subtle.

AMDOCS INTERACTIVE

Another significant player in the mobile Internet personalization space is Amdocs Interactive ChangingWorlds. The company’s solution, which is deployed in 56 top-tier mobile operators worldwide, harnesses advanced algorithms to analyze individual browsing behavior in real time and push relevant content into the portal.

I got together with Mike Lurye, Product Marketing Manager at Amdocs Interactive, to get his take on where this is going. As Mike puts it, it’s all about personalization, “but the value is in user choice.” The Amdocs approach lets users make the decisions, providing them the option to actively configure content requirements. But the system also makes decisions for the user, choosing which content to push dynamically based on the subscriber’s browsing behavior.

In practice, Amdocs Interactive features a smart icon-driven toolbar which supports more intuitive navigation and links to third-party content and services including social networks, ecommerce, search and news. All can be launched from the operator’s portal, but the experience doesn’t end there. The toolbar remains in the browser and travels with the user as they engage with these services.  As Mike puts it: “All this intelligence is logged, analyzed and optimized for a personal portal experience.”

With both Bytemobile and Amdocs Interactive, the marketing approach is subtle and the chances of success greater. This is because subscribers are in control and therefore comfortable about making personalization choices, either through configuring the widget toolbar that travels with them everywhere or by letting marketers/operators know what they like.

ROBUST ECOSYSTEM

Connect the dots, and the pieces are in place for a sustainable economic model that fosters the growth of the entire ecosystem. Why? Because aggregated and anonymous browsing behavior provides the data essential to the creation of well-defined profiles that, in turn, pave the way for brands to deliver subscribers an offer they literally can hardly refuse.

Marketers benefit because these personalization solutions provide the much-needed basis for an effective ad-supported content distribution model. The insights they provide into individual browsing behavior combined with other data points provide a consolidated view of the customer. And, as we know, delight the customer is the first rule of successful marketing.

Personalization pays for operators as well. In fact, Mike tells me one of his company’s operator customers saw as much as 20 percent uplift in revenues. It’s difficult to say whether the revenue boost was due to increased data usage, more premium content consumption, upgrades to richer subscription plans or more beneficial revenue share agreements with third-party ad networks – since the solution impacts each of these – but it’s clear that personalization had an impressive incremental effect. The same solution potentially improves mobile search, resulting in a more personal (hence useful) user experience.

And finally, it’s good news for the publishers as well – provided they forge relationships with the clever operators that have embraced these personalization solutions in the first place. By negotiating licensing and rev share agreements with these operators – ones that are willing to stream subscriber intelligence to the publisher ad servers – these publishers have the capabilities to extend the personalized marketing experience that subscribers have come to expect. No longer in the dark about their users profiles and preferences,  these publishers have the business and customer intelligence the need to serve relevant ads and sell premium inventory aimed at a high CPM audience.

THE BOTTOM LINE

While the mobile ecosystem seeks a silver bullet solution that will get brands to open their wallets and increase mobile advertising spend, some companies are growing the market by focusing on the user side of the equation. Companies like Amdocs Interactive and Bytemobile are sharply focused on the connection between personalized content, relevant marketing and personalized search. Together the companies count an installed base of more than 100 mobile operators worldwide. Do the math and those  implementations translate into tens of millions of subscribers who already enjoy a personalized portal with widgets that travel, and would likely be open to marketing messages that match their interests.

Personalized advertising is not science fiction.  It’s happening now because it must. The advent of 4G and LTE pushes operators to pursue new revenue streams to offset capital expenditures. Operators will therefore need to leverage subscriber intelligence, invest in personalization solutions and so take the lead in building an ad-supported content distribution model that works for everyone. This will surely spark interest among the marketers currently sitting on the sidelines and get the attention of the brands.

It was great to have the last few days off and even better to map out an exciting line-up of MSearchGroove projects for the next few months. One that I am particularly honored to announce: my collaboration with GigaOM Pro, the new research arm of the highly respected tech blog GigaOM. By way of background, GigaOM Pro has brought together an impressive roster of industry authorities and analysts (including my esteemed colleague Chetan Sharma) to “address the gap that exists in real-time expert industry analysis on emerging technology markets.” The GigaOM Pro solution: Make timely, highly relevant analysis and insights accessible and practical.

I’m on board to write an in-depth examination of personalization and recommendation technologies and business models, a natural next step given my long track record analyzing mobile search and my deep involvement in the recommender space. (This includes work with Strands, a major provider of recommender systems, on recommender industry events including RecSys 09 – October 22-25, NYC.)

The report is an ambitious undertaking and I am naturally interested in connecting with personalization/recommendation companies –so please contact me directly if you wish to be considered for inclusion. peggy@msearchgroove.com

Why the buzz about personalization?

The advance of Internet-specific smartphones and the spread of app store schemes turns up the pressure on mobile operators (and their content providers) to decipher data transactions (on and off the network), combine it with location and demographic data and use the results to create a 360-degree view of the individual.

Where does this shift leave mobile operators?

They are hard pushed to turn analytics into competitive advantage. Sensing this business opportunity (that execs tell me they estimate hovers in the hundreds of millions of dollars), a slew of companies (such as Amdocs, Bytemobile, Novarra and Qualcomm) are among the first out the gates with revamped offers to arm operators for the ultimate battle with Web giants for the mobile customer. This special series profiles the players jockeying for position in the marketplace.

This week we look at Openwave, which has recently productized its existing analytics capabilities and business intelligence know-how, and packaged it up as Mobile Analytics.

The solution – designed to aggregate usage data and behavioral information across a variety of sources, including on-portal surfing and open Web browsing, to generate meaningful reports –dovetails with other Openwave offers (behavioral targeting, profiling, usage pattern analysis) to lay the groundwork for the delivery of relevant content and advertising.

I caught up with Mayur Pitamber, Openwave Product Management Strategist, to discuss the role of the mobile operator, debate the value of personalization and what we can expect next in the Openwave product roadmap.

AN EXCERPT OF OUR Q&A

Q: Let’s talk about the fit with mobile advertising. You have just launched the complement to your own mobile advertising solution, which is Mobile Analytics. What’s the level of interest in mobile advertising? I’m hearing some operators get it, but many more don’t…

A: There was some hype about it at first, but operators are starting to see the value of it now and they are also beginning to understand the real value of the data they have. The last months have been marked by a surge of activity and RFIs and RFPs specifically for mobile analytics solutions, which is new in this market. We didn’t see this last year.

A lot of what happened and the initial excitement around mobile advertising industry was quite premature. It’s not just about offering targeted advertising; it’s about offering relevant products and services based on the user’s behavior. The operators can use analytics to gain profiles of these users, the sites they frequent and what they do while online. It’s when this information can be aggregated and provided to media agencies and brands that it really becomes valuable.

It’s all about helping operators to provide the mobile audience metrics that the brands are looking for. Not necessarily going through the GSMA, because they have some of that [covered in their] initiative, but doing that directly. With the solution we’re offering the operators can provide those metrics directly to the brands, to the media agencies, to the publishers, and be a vital part of that mobile advertising ecosystem. And with our solution there’s no need for us to insert tracking or cookies or JavaScript, or anything like that. Every Web page goes through our gateway and we can basically track on that. So, that’s a key differentiator.

Q: There are, of course, other solutions in this space. A long list of gateway providers: Qualcomm, Amdocs, Ericsson, Nokia, Bytemobile, Novarra. And the space is getting crowded.

A: Obviously, there are competitors out there.  All gateway providers can provide parts of this sort of solution. However, I haven’t come across a solution [similar to ours] with this [breadth] out there in the market at this point in time. Being a gateway provider for the last 10 years, we’ve been providing this type of reporting to operators. But now we’ve added more features and made it more user-friendly. So, it’s a mature business intelligence product that we’re bringing to the market.

Q: In early August, Telstra announced it had implemented your Mobile Analytics solution. The press release says it’s all about providing Telstra a “dashboard view of intelligent analytics and rich reporting capabilities across its mobile device portfolio.” To start, how many of your operator customers have this solution or perhaps the analytics solutions that preceded this?

A: We have deployed previous versions of this analytic solution to some six tier-1 operators around the world.

Q: Let’s say I’m an operator and I don’t have a solution from Openwave, but I like the analytics.  Can I just have that, or is it a package deal?

A: Previously, the solution was just built around Openwave products. But obviously, we want a bigger market share, so we’ve designed the solution such that it will work with any other gateway, any other vendor of gateway products.

Q: You said before competing on analytics is the way for operators to be “a vital part of the ecosystem.” Can operators really play this central role?

A: That’s a really good question. I think it’s quite difficult to answer as well. The operators have traditionally been sluggish. Their bread and butter has been voice revenues and SMS revenues. To really get them incentivized to offer new services such as mobile advertising, you need a compelling business case. I’ve spoken to dozens of operators around the world. Some of them are in advanced stages of creating any-time mobile advertising organizations. Others have only one or two mobile advertising product managers. For these operators, the business case – for whatever reason – is just not compelling enough for the decision makers to say okay, let’s really invest in this.

Q: This jives with what people told me while I was conducting interviews for Mobile Advertising Research UK. As one executive at a mobile infrastructure company that counts over 300 network operator clients observed: Mobile advertising only becomes interesting for an operator when “the type of revenue they can envisage is around 2 percent of their overall revenue to 5 percent, and with an opportunity to grow to 10 percent of revenue. This is the revenue that will really make them sit up and make it work.” Another figure that stands out: GBP 28.6 million, which is what the IAB reckons was the mobile ad spend in 2008. What’s your take?

A: I can believe the ad spend for the U.K. I think the hold up is the thinking about the role of the mobile operator. We have to be clear about what they can do. In my view, the role of the mobile operator will be to provide incentives for people to use new services so that additional inventory and mediums become available to insert ads. And obviously, once those mediums become available, that becomes attractive to brands and advertisers. But, right now, it’s difficult for operators to manage their inventories. They have SMS inventory, MMS inventory, on-portal, off-portal. All of these are different systems and it’s difficult to provide brands and advertisers a consolidated view of what is available out there. So, it’s when there is a clear view of the different inventories out there and the tools to manage these inventories, and make these inventories available to third-parties such as the brands and media agencies, that I think mobile advertising will really take off.

Q: Are you convinced operators can start acting like media companies? Or are there going to be a lot of carriers that focus on access over audience?

A: The tier-1s I talk with have created organizations to manage mobile advertising. They’ve created sales forces to go out and sell inventory. So, they are already acting as media agencies and helping brands identify which inventory they want to use. But again, these are just the big tier-1 operators.

Q: Advertising is messaging – and loads of it. Or it could borrow from TV and be video-centric? We don’t know. In any case, we have more data usage – both from people surfing with their smartphones and brands that want to reach them. What is the potential impact on the network side of things? What are you seeing?

A: We’re seeing huge increase in data traffic volumes. A data tsunami is going to hit operators within the next 12-24 months. And some operators are quite oblivious to this. So, [with Mobile Analytics] we’re helping the operators to identify trends on the operational front as well. We’re saying ‘Hey, you need to do capacity planning and optimize your networks because this is going to be your traffic in 6 months or 12 months.’

Q: Let’s move to the report on North American mobile Internet trends you issued that may have got lost in the CTIA shuffle. It made some interesting points, and I understand you are about to release another one soon. What were some of the key observations and what were the surprises?

A: That report was basically based on data from one of our customers in North America. Many of the trends we saw confirmed what the market was thinking. For example, everyone is doing social networking on mobile. The top sites, as you could guess, were Facebook and MySpace.

In terms of search, we were able to also track some keywords. Something that was interesting: people – when they wanted to find Google — wouldn’t enter Google on their mobile phone and go to Google. They would actually enter ‘Google’ in a Yahoo search engine. This operator had Yahoo as a search partner. Anyway, that tells us that a lot of search use may be because of usability. It’s easier to type it [a destination] in a search box than to navigate to it on the Web.

Q: Finally – what about app stores? They’re hot. What is the value-add, if any, from analytics?

A: One of the operators we’re working with is in the process of opening an app store. They know that not all users are going to go through the apps. If you figure the iPhone app store has tens of thousands of apps and growing, users would lose patience sifting through all that. This operator wants to analytics specifically on this [operator] app store to identify the top ten apps. But it goes beyond this to include how many times have the apps been downloaded; who has consumed them; and whether the users have shared apps with other people. More importantly, the operator is providing this app store data to the application developers, so they also have insight into how their apps are being used and how many people have downloaded their apps. So, Mobile Analytics can be used to identify the audiences going to these app stores – and that can be used to build the business.

WHAT’S NEXT?

Generally speaking, the value of data is not in the data itself, but in the mashups we create when we combine it with other data stores. Put another way, the way to wring the value out of analytics is to combine it with location and demographics data, which is why Openwave is keen to feature both in its Mobile Analytics solution. Mayur tells me we can expect location in the next months. (Openwave is also gearing up to announce another customer win for its analytics offer in South East Asia.)

Likewise recommendation capabilities are moving up the list to take a center spot in Openwave strategy. As Mayur put it: The next version of Mobile Analytics will come with recommenders “bolted on.” No word yet on what the recommender will allow (delivery of content or advertising – or both?), how it will achieve this (based on item-to-item or user-to user – or both?), or how it will integrate with Openwave’s underlying Integra platform. But read between the lines, and the sharpened focus on recommendation is at least a welcome testament to the timing and importance of my upcoming GigaOM report on the same topic.

Openwave, unlike some of the gateway providers I’ve examined/profiled in this series, is also bullish about mobile search. The company demo points out that Mobile Analytics potentially improves mobile search, allowing operators to deliver relevant results individuals will find useful.

I am reminded at this juncture of a related post I wrote about the potential for operator-centric, operator-powered, operator-controlled mobile search. With the right tools and technology mobile operators can follow our virtual breadcrumb trail to optimize our mobile search (and advertising) experiences, using our actual usage patterns to give us the answers/results we will most likely appreciate.

My take: Personalization is a hot topic but personalized recommendation and search are even hotter. The space is crowding with gateway providers that are using their position in the network to give their operator customers insights into what people are doing on the network (on- and off-portal). The end-game is about helping operators make business decisions based on new subscriber behaviors and trends. Openwave is one of a number of companies in this space – but it has its eye on the prize: drilling down in the data to help operators manage bandwidth allocation, deliver targeted mobile advertising AND fine-tune recommendation and mobile search. What better way for operators to compete against Internet and search engine giants, and potentially win?

Next in the series: We discuss personalization with Novarra.

Last week, we outlined the opportunities and challenges created by the proliferation of app stores. The takeaway: app stores may have turned people on to applications and whet their appetite for new content types, but they also turn up the pressure on companies across the ecosystem (operators, OS providers and handset-makers-turned-content-providers) to make finding and buying applications/content a no-brainer.

Indeed, personalization is the new business mantra, and it goes for content/apps as well as advertising. Guest columns from Barry Smyth, Chief Scientist of Changing Worlds, an Amdocs company and recognized pioneer in personalization technologies, and Jim Levey, a former Director of Product Marketing for Search and Digital Advertising at Amdocs who has joined MSG’s roster of authors and influencers, will examine the models and mindsets required to turn personalization into competitive advantage.

In the meantime, it’s productive for us all to be on the same page, starting off with an understanding of the offers and an overview of the competitive landscape.

This week the focus is Bytemobile, a company that sits between the operator and the individual, collecting the data (such as browsing behavior on- and off-portal) that – in theory – allows its operator customers to deliver individuals personalized content (and advertising) they are bound to appreciate.

What are the practical benefits of personalization? Where does Widget Bar (software that enables operators to insert a personalized toolbar on the screen of any mobile device) fit in to the scheme of things? And what’s in it for brands? I caught up with Adrian Hall, Bytemobile CMO, to get the inside track.

Listen to the podcast here. [15:30]

WHY PERSONALIZATION?: The advance of the iPhone has impacted the space on two levels: it has highlighted the continued need for content adaptation solutions (to display Flash properly, for example) and it has increased the desire of people to experience rich-media content across all devices (not just smartphones). “So, there’s still a very strong market for the content adaptation as a class of product, but clearly as devices increase in functionality and in capability, there’s a need still to influence the way the end user interacts with data, even on a device as sophisticated as the iPhone.” To allow operators to personalize data (and brand the overall value-added services experience) Bytemobile has introduced Widget Bar. (You can view the demo here.)

As Adrian puts it: The idea is to have a personalized toolbar on the screen of any mobile device (smartphone on down to mass market device), “which offers efficient user access to services like local news and weather, enhanced search, email and social networking.”

By way of background, the Widget Bar got a bit of a boost in July when Bytemobile launched a – well – starter pack for mobile operators that includes:

• The operator-configurable Inline Portal application that intelligently brings portal content to the top of every web page.
• The Search Bar application, that provides an always-present search query box (piggy-backing the search engine preferred by the mobile operator), thus facilitating content discovery and enhancing mobile browsing.
• The Share application that simplifies the sharing of mobile web content with other users directly or through popular social networking services such as Facebook and Twitter.
• The Notifications pop-up application that gives operators a way to inform subscribers of relevant updates such as promotions and operational messages on roaming and data limits.

Connect the dots, and for Bytemobile it’s all about enabling operators to own and brand the all-important interaction between people, their phones and their peers.

APP COMPARISON: “Widget Bar is basically a clientless application window, if you like, so it helps mobile users to gain access to useful applications and personalized content of their choice.  As I said, it does this using a consistent presentation format. So, what it basically offers is a series of ‘mini-apps,’ if you like, that sit across the top of the screen of your device.” What does the use case look like? Imagine people that get access (through the carrier data plan) to apps as part of a larger offer. “Hypothetically, $10 a month would get you access to the choice of 10 applications that you could populate across the top of your device….So, you can then choose little mini-apps that are basically zero-click apps of your choice that are somewhat personalized by the operator.” The result: a populated Widget Bar across the screen of any class of mobile phone that is “updated in real time, basically in the background whenever we happen to refresh a Web page that we’re searching on as part of a session on our mobile phone.”

OPERATOR PERSONALIZATION: It all starts with Bytemobile’s Unison platform, a mobile Internet platform that enables operators to deploy fully integrated, multi-service solutions from a single node in the core data path of the network. As Adrian puts it: “We actually sit in the data path and so we get access to see how users search the Web, what advertisements they click on, [and] their browsing behavior.” This insight allows Bytemobile to build up a real time user profile of that particular user.

DRIVERS: Adrian tells me the main reason operators are interested in (and currently trialling) Widget Bar is to fight back the competition coming from Web giants and handset makers. “Operators captured a lot of their data revenue through their portals.  Now, as the walls of the walled gardens break down and portal traffic and portal revenue is reducing, we’re all going to the open Internet.” As a result, carriers are looking for ways to capture “the mindshare of their consumers rather than the consumers going off to the app store and some of the other products from Google and Apple that immediately take the consumer away from the carrier, from the carrier’s brand and the carrier’s applications.”

MOBILE ADVERTISING: “The key to effective advertising and more effective click through rates clearly is the ability to analyze the browsing behavior of particular [individual] consumers.  Because we can analyse browsing behaviour in real time, it allows us to work with the carriers and their ad providers, be it the ad networks that they’ve chosen or in-house facilities that they’ve built, to much more effectively target ads to consumers.”

PROFILING: Bytemobile’s ability to personalize content goes back to the insights it gained offering products and solutions to monitor how people use services such as video in order to implement fair use policies. “Typically when we talk to carriers, they see that 2-3% of users are typically using 50-70% of bandwidth and clearly they’re not paying for that amount.” Sitting in that sweet spot between the carrier and the consumer (monitoring video use) has also allowed Bytemobile to focus on personalization. As Adrian puts it: “It’s personalisation that’s going to end up increasing either the click through of an advert…or staying with the carrier and the value-added services that particular carrier can offer versus just going straight out to a Google or an Apple [destination], and ultimately increasing the chances of making that carrier a dumb pipe.”

WHAT’S NEXT?: In a word, execution. It’s all about helping operators implement Bytemobile’s personalization solutions. Adrian tells me operator deals are in the pipeline, but no details yet. He also reports that large-scale user experience trials conducted in cooperation with operators show the vast majority of users accessed the Widget Bar application several times per week. (No numbers from Bytemobile, so it’s not possible to quantify this “vast majority.”)

Other observations from Adrian:

• Bytemobile users reported finding navigation tools such as the Search Bar application extremely useful
• The Inline Portal application effectively doubled users’ visits to the operators’ portals
• Instant user access to the latest portal services and content, the continuous presence of the operator’s brand on the web browser, and the accurate targeting of content delivered to users all resulted in increased click-through rates

My take: Hmmm – it wasn’t so long ago that mobile search was widely regarded as a silver-bullet solution that would allow content companies/developers to present their offers within an acceptable click-distance and clinch that all-important sale. However, the usability barriers outlined in this post from my last mobile search masterclass have shifted industry focus from mobile search to tools and technologies that allow content owners/developers to employ a more proactive approach. Against this backdrop, content discovery (and the solutions to present content/apps where users can see and buy them) is back in the spotlight, all the better if these solutions bubble up content/apps to the surface that are in tune with our individual preferences. (And it’s not just about content; personalization can also be harnessed to deliver people advertising that they are more likely to appreciate.) Bytemobile is one of a new breed of companies allowing operators to connect the dots in the clues people leave behind (browsing behavior, for example) to serve up content they are bound to like and – more importantly – brand it to reinforce their value-add. Will this allow operators to do battle with Google, Apple and all the other companies jumping on the content/app bandwagon? It’s too early to call that one – but solutions such as this certainly create a more level playing field and play up the importance of personalization data only the operators can access.

The bottom line: While flat-rate data plans have become more pervasive, and mobile data use has increased, cost still remains a very sticky subject, particularly for content not covered under unlimited data plans. This is a huge issue for operators and content providers looking to increase uptake of mobile content, but the implication is pretty clear: consumers don’t have good pricing information, and they’re hesitant to shell out without it.

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THERE’S A MIDDLE CLASS OF IPHONE APP DEVELOPERS, says mobile apps analytics company Flurry, with them bigger than independent developers, but much smaller than the traditional mobile powerhouses. The company studied the distribution of the most popular games on US carrier decks and in the Apple App Store, and found that the iPhone environment wasn’t dominated by the same big names (EA, Gameloft, Namco, etc.), but rather by smaller, newer developers.

Flurry says the cost of content is a big issue: it notes that in the App Store, EA’s games mostly run from $5 to $10, compared to the $1 to $2 of other more popular games. It also notes that just before it conducted its analysis, Gameloft sliced the cost of its iPhone games to 99 cents; consequently 3 of its games leapt into the top 25 list. Source

The bottom line: Once again, these figures show how price-sensitive consumers are when it comes to mobile content. The question for the likes of EA, though, falls back to that wonderful economic concept of price elasticity: by cutting the price of a $5 game to $1, will they get 5 times as many buyers? It’s hard to get a read on that from Flurry’s data, but anecdotally, it seems that users have a much easier time paying the mental transaction cost of a 99-cent app, and the lower price tempts a lot more curious buyers.

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SIXTY-TWO PERCENT OF MOBILE VIDEO USERS SPEND MORE TIME ON THE MOBILE INTERNET than they do surfing the internet on their PCs, according to a survey from mobile video delivery company Transpera, compared to just 9 percent of people who don’t watch mobile video. There’s a wide gap in other usage stats between users and non-users of mobile video, making it clear that those who do use it are heavy mobile users in general.

There’s also some good info for potential mobile video advertisers: the company found that mobile video users eat out more, travel more and tend to earn more money than non-users. Of course, if these users are out of their home or traveling more often, and cost isn’t a concern, they might be expected to use mobile services more heavily. Source

The bottom line: Clearly people using mobile video are early adopters and heavy users of mobile data services. This is great and makes them a good target for advertisers, on one hand, but on the other, expresses that use of mobile video is still far from mainstream.

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THE MOBILE WEB ISN’T JUST LIMITED TO SMARTPHONES, browser behemoth Opera says. In its latest State of the Mobile Web report, the company says served over 10.4 billion pages to the 26.5 million users of its Opera Mini browser in June, up 8 percent over May. It reports the top ten countries for Opera Mini use in the month were Russia, Indonesia, India, China, Ukraine, South Africa, U.S., U.K., Poland and Nigeria, with India overtaking China last month. Source

The bottom line: Opera Mini remains a popular way for feature phone users to get online, and coupled with the use of operator-provided transcoding services, as well as good old carrier decks, remind us that browsing the mobile web isn’t limited to the likes of the iPhone and other high-end devices. Users of simpler devices remain a huge and viable audience for mobile content providers and advertisers.

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MOBILE DATA PLANS ARE ONE OF THE FIRST THINGS CONSUMERS LOOK TO CUT when they hit budget problems, says research from Strategy Analytics. It found that almost half of Americans surveyed said they’d drop mobile data completely if they needed to cut household costs, a far greater percentage than mobile voice, fixed voice, digital TV or broadband internet.

The bottom line: While mobile data use grows, it’s still viewed largely as a luxury item, rather than a necessity. Just 10 percent of people said they’d drop their fixed broadband completely, showing just how important it has become to people – meaning mobile data has a long way to go.

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TEXT, VOICE, THEN MOBILE WEB are the most common features used daily by UK mobile subscribers, says Lightspeed Research. But the gap between text and voice, and mobile web remains pretty huge: About half of those surveyed send a text every day, while a little more than a third make a call each day; but just 9 percent use the mobile web every day. Source

The bottom line: While mobile web use continues to grow, as we’ve seen from multiple data points today, there’s still a lot of room for growth and several obstacles remain. For advertisers, a bigger audience would be beneficial, so what can be done to help to grow that audience? There’s the Blyk model (documented in Peggy’s in-depth analysis), which looks to offer free service to users in exchange for ads, but perhaps other sponsorship opportunities exist. Vodafone’s “free internet days” have generated a lot of interest and usage, and these sorts of offers could represent a sponsorship opportunity.

In brief: An analysis of what Blyk’s partnership with Vodafone Netherlands really means, an exclusive Q&A with

It’s been a bit quiet at MSG as I finalize the plans and partnerships that will transform MSG into a media company and lay the groundwork for an ambitious mobile marketing publishing project that has already earned the endorsement of several major industry organizations.  (More in a press release soon via RealWire, a global news release distribution service and MSG partner that, like the online media industry that is its focus, is always-on, always-connected and always professional, which is why I can recommend them so highly.)

But I couldn’t end the week without posting an analysis of the exciting (but not unexpected) news from Blyk, combination mobile engagement media company, mobile advertising startup and MVNO, that it had signed an deal with to roll out its branded service in partnership with Vodafone Netherlands and to share revenues with the operator.

Connect the dots, and Blyk has executed on the game-changing strategy that Antti Öhling, Blyk co-founder and CEO U.K., outlined in May in this exclusive Q&A. In it he provides solid logic for “making the switch” from MVNO (a model he called a “proof of concept”) to youth engagement media. The reasons range from scale and speed (both accelerated through partnership with operators) to the ones that matter most to advertisers: reach and engagement.

As Antti put it: “An MVNO means that you have to make up-front heavy investments. We needed to do it in the U.K. in order to get the whole machinery working. We needed to have access to all the tools that the operators have in their server rooms. Now that we understand how to use it [technology] we know how to help them. We know exactly how they can combine operator infrastructure with our ad engine and campaign management. We can make every campaign pixel perfect but what’s more important is that they [campaigns] are extremely relevant to the receiver. We saw the MVNO model as too slow for growth. If we partner with operators, we can triple or quadruple the speed, and reach the scalability that many advertisers are looking for.”

And while we’re reviewing the milestone statements from this Q&A (opinions that have new and significant meaning in view of the Vodafone Netherlands partnership), allow me to bring your attention to the one from Antti that speaks volumes (literally) about why operators would/should tie up with Blyk for a Blyk-branded service in the first place. In a word, brand.

As he put it: “Blyk is a simple end-to-end proposition that covers everything from ad platform, campaign management, user experience and audience management to technology.  Sometimes when I discuss this with operators, I say, ‘Think of Blyk as a Coke.’ as this example makes our role easier to understand. We have the recipe and we have the brand. People understand Blyk; young people understand what it means when we come to a country.  The recipe is how you make it work.  The operators have the factories for making all the refreshments they need, and they have their existing distribution channels. Basically, they have the works. But if they bring Coke in there, they can get so much more volume and so much more value. It’s a lot more interesting – and lucrative – to have Blyk as part of the operator offer. In other words, they can expand their reach to offering another well-known product.”

EXPERIENCE EXPERTS

Jonathan MacDonald – friend, esteemed colleague and, importantly, an architect of Blyk strategy – highlights another ace that plays in Blyk’s favor as it enters into this and other partnerships with mobile operators: breadth of offer.

Based on a background briefing with Antti Öhling, Blyk co-founder and CEO U.K., Jonathan pieces together what he calls the “Blyk partnership Blueprint” (which he shares in this post).

The model:

1)    Position yourself as an MVNO (as Blyk did) to perfect the process of linking brands with people. As Jonathan, an eyewitness to this stage of the company build-out observes: “Over time there was constant improvement of processes and tools which all connected to creating a true experience for Blyk members and creating the world’s first network as a media.”

2)    Productize this offer. Create a comprehensive capabilities mix whose components (in the case of Blyk) include: “Blyk brand, Blyk user experience, Blyk approach, Blyk audience management and of course, Blyk advertising sales.”)

3)    Partner with mobile operators. Use the existing infrastructure and capabilities of the mobile operator, experts at customer acquisition, billing and delivering great service.

Intrigued by this model, I caught up with Pekka Ala-Pietilä, Blyk co-founder and CEO, earlier this morning to deep-dive into Blyk’s real business objectives and the real value of brand in the scheme of mobile advertising. (My personal thanks to Irene Nyberg, Blyk Head of Analyst Relations and International Press, for arranging this briefing on short notice.)

AN EXCERPT OF THE Q&A WITH PEKKA ALA-PIETILÄ

Q: What have you achieved in the U.K. and how will you bring this to bear in your partnership with Vodafone Netherlands and others in the pipeline?

A: There are three elements. We have developed the capability to make ads relevant, that has allowed us to create an opt-in audience that want to receive this advertising. Beyond this, we have changed the whole context of advertising. Advertising ceases to exist because it is perceived as content. And that is one of the great aspirations of advertisers: to get to a level of relevance where what they send is perceived as valuable information, valuable content and important social currency. The fact that the audience responds positively to this response is reflected in the third element of this: our net advocacy scores. [By way of background, Net Advocacy is a measure of the volume of positive and negative word-of-mouth.] With over 40 percent, we’re at the same level as YouTube and Facebook. That is important for advertisers. Net advocacy is high and so are response rates. They have stayed at 25 percent for over 20 months now. [NOTE: Some 200 advertisers, including major brands such as Coca-Cola, L'Oreal and Sky, have run some 2,500 campaigns to date, reporting an average response rate of 25 percent.]

Q: You have achieved brand awareness without yourself spending on advertising and promotion. It worked in the U.K., but what will be the strategy for other countries? And how do you quantify your brand strength?

A: We believe the Blyk brand has several facets. The consumer-facing brand has the capability to spill over. Consumers are connected and can find out about our brand on the Internet or from other sources, so we believe that is how awareness will continue to grow. Our brand also has a great crossover effect when it comes to advertisers. We work with all six major advertising agencies and a large number of international and global brands. Finally, our brand is known to mobile operators who know what we achieved in the U.K. and what we plan to do in The Netherlands. Many forget that we have successfully recruited youth, the most difficult audience segment to reach because you have to get to them through the clutter of other media. We did this because youth is an extremely important segment for advertisers.

Q: The news is the partnership. But why not just go it alone?

A: Mobile advertising is not a technology game. Technologies can be bought. Of course, you need to have a good technology, and we have it. But it comes to the ability to deliver a seamless end-to-end media experience, which is why we are a media company. Operators are telecom companies and all the corporate DNA and KPIs [key performance indicators] are telco-driven. In the model [Vodafone Netherlands partnership] the operator brings the telco capability, the infrastructure, the billing and the ability to acquire customers and on a mass scale and feed that into an opt-in database that you need to make advertising work. We bring the audience management – the member experience – and we manage it for them. We bring the processes, how the media works between the members and the advertisers; and we bring the technology and the ad sales force. All this means we can get off to a flying start, and that’s a great benefit for operators.

Q: You have a kind of turnkey solution here; one that you say gets you off to a “flying start” when you move into a new country. What countries are on the roadmap?

A: We have a model that doesn’t only allow us to grow fast in a country. We can roll it out in number of countries in parallel.

Q: Such as?

A: We are moving in Europe and Asia. One of the guidelines we follow is the interest shown by advertisers, the markets they think are important. Asia is where broadband has not and never will take off to the same level that it has in Europe. There mobile will be THE digital media. There is no other digital advertising channel available.

Q: We hear that a lot – but why is advertising the major revenue source for every mass media except mobile? And where are the mobile operators? My own mobile advertising research (Mobile Advertising Research U.K.) revealed value chain confusion is to blame, along with a lack of awareness and education. What’s your take?

A: For one, the industry has tried to take the online experience – such as search and banner – and apply it to mobile. We have not yet come up with an adaptation that is right for the mobile context. It’s the same as in the 1990s, when we learned that you cannot force mobile on the Internet and saw that WAP didn’t work.

Second, operators have taken a purely technology approach. They have brought in multiple platforms, in some cases two, three, even four technology platforms, and none is generating revenues. So they have gone for piecemeal and not complete solutions and it’s only a recent revelation [among operators] that this isn’t going to work.

But awareness is changing and that will sharpen the focus on mobile advertising. Another development that has raised the stakes is the intention of the Internet companies – Google, Apple, Microsoft, Nokia and others – to make money and a business out of mobile advertising. So, there will be an interesting increase of efforts and tensions, and this will create an increased sense of urgency on the part of the operators to put more effort into mobile advertising. There will be a battle between players to decide who will be first to create the foundation and grow to become the game-changer in mobile advertising.

Q: My own research also revealed a growing concern that the number of mouths to feed in the value chain exceeds the revenues to share. How many mouths are in your value chain?

A: We have only three mouths to be fed: agencies, operator and us. So, there is more than enough to be shared and go around. If the value chain is a puzzle then, you are right, there are too many players that need to be taken care of, and you have more companies than revenues to go around. On the topic of costs, we can partner in way that the incremental cost for an operator to actually build this capability from the technical side is low. The production cost and what’s need to achieve economies of scale for producing [advertising] messages is also low. On top of that the incremental cost for us to connect [our media offering] with different operators is again low. So, when you look at the cost competitiveness of different alternative value chains or solutions – the one we have built is almost unbeatable. There are revenues to share and the partners involved [Blyk and the operator] already have an optimized cost structure.

Q: Lastly, a look back to your off-portal play. You have a partnership with Velti and a sharp focus on content portals and providers. What does this tell us about Blyk objectives? Some could argue this conflicts or that you could be spreading yourself too thin…

A: This is not a zero-sum game. That model only applies when the market is stagnant – but on the mobile side – content and consumption the market is on a growth curve. What happens off-portal – and promoting it – is a way of helping acquaint people with mobile and encouraging them to use services and content, and that is a benefit for everyone. A parallel is i-mode. There are open and closed spaces – and helping both to grow is a win-win for everyone.

Q: It’s about content and services. But what about apps? Companies tell me they are excited about apps and getting in now with advertising schemes and strategies. Is Blyk going to jump aboard the app bandwagon?

A: We will have an aspect in our business which will definitely, and in due course, be aligned with the elements you mentioned. Having said that, we don’t see the need to rush to the app stores – especially when our core business has so much potential. We have more then enough work and opportunities just focusing on what we do.

WHAT DOES THIS ALL MEAN?

My take: Connect the dots, and Blyk has its eye on the prize: developing the capabilities – in partnership with mobile operators – to be a game-changing engagement media in reach and response.

It’s also about leveling the playing field and helping mobile operators understand the terrible truth: mobile operators are no longer in the access business and focusing on growing subscriber numbers obliges them to overlook the very opportunities (such as mobile advertising) and value creation opportunities that Internet brands are rushing to embrace.

Indeed, let’s not forget how bullish Google CEO Eric Schmidt is on mobile advertising. In August 2008 during a guest spot on CNBC’s “Mad Money with Jim Cramer” he stated: “Over time, we will make more money from mobile advertising. The reason is because the mobile computer is more targeted. Think about it–you carry your phone everywhere; it knows all about you.”

But it’s more than a play to make sure the Internet – where network operators (who owned the networks) and media companies (that owned the content) lost out to Internet giants such as Google – doesn’t repeat itself.

Mobile has to be different, which is why the partners (Blyk and Vodafone Netherlands) have also agreed to maintain the Blyk brand to their mutual benefit. (Makes sense… Why start with a new brand when Blyk already has a high net advocacy rate and high profile with agencies and advertisers?) Against this backdrop, a Blyk brand in the arsenal is a great way to jumpstart a youth-focused mobile offer wrapped in a proven media model brands and agencies understand. Now it’s up to the partners to turn it on and turn up the volume (literally) to build the opt-in database of members that will attract the brands.

But does it have to stop with a youth brand? I doubt it. A look under the hood a the breadth of the Blyk offer tells us this is a turnkey solution that clever operators could brand and turn on for other customer segments that advertisers want to reach (other age groups or illusive prosumers, for example).

And why not?

After all, the solution is the same (Blyk built it); the value chain is manageable (always and only three mouths to feed); and a raft of recent research reports tell us people everywhere respond positively to mobile advertising that is relevant to their interests and respectful of their right to co-create their advertising experiences. (Or at least they have to have that option. No doubt the 90/10 rule that holds for the Internet – that 90 percent are lurkers and 10 percent are contributors who get involved – goes for the mobile Web, but it’s best to ask permission all the same, and it’s a great way to gather the demographic data that so far only the social networks can.)

And if this sounds far-fetched then consider a surprise finding that emerged from the interviews that fed into Mobile Advertising Research U.K.: a growth opportunity lies in building the capabilities mix to improve audience segmentation and deliver demographics brands and agencies know from other media.

From the report: “However, this opportunity also represents one of the greatest challenges to mobile operators. While they wield powerful data about their customers, many operators have not yet structured their organizations to deliver this in a form that brands and agencies appreciate. As one executive at an application provider put it: ‘Operators must be able to segment the audience into media segments that make sense. Till now they haven’t done a good job at that.’”

Maybe the Blyk Blueprint shows the way…

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RELATED READING

·       Blyk: Inventory Doesn’t Make Mobile Operators Media Companies; Why Mobile Advertising Must Be Relevant

·       Ad-funded MVNO Blyk: Alive & Kicking – AND Coming Exclusively To MSG

·       Mobile Advertising Success: Orchestrate Don’t Dominate

·       PODCAST: Blyk COO Leif Fågelstedt On Stats, Response & Competitive Landscape; Mobile; Does Blyk Break The Mould?

·       Podcast: Blyk COO Leif Fågelstedt On Mobile Advertising,

But the real news is Pump Up The Volume: An Assessment of Voice-Enabled Web Search on the iPhone, MSearchGroove’s new-release white paper assessing the performance of voice search on an iPhone offered by ChaCha, Google and Vlingo (using Yahoo!), which you can download here. The report is especially timely, coming on the heels of today’s announcement by Google that it has fine-tuned the mobile app versions of its Google Voice service for Blackberry and Android. (More on the user experience via this detailed post at GigaOm.)

The top-level findings: ChaCha, a fast-growing SMS mobile search service available in the U.S. in the industry, “proved superior” to two other voice-enabled search options for the iPhone: the Google Mobile App with Voice and Vlingo for iPhone, a voice enabled application that allows users to direct their spoken queries to Google or Yahoo! (For the purposes of this study Vlingo provided a spoken interface to the Yahoo! search engine.)

ChaCha proved to offer exceptional results, with its human guides interpreting the search query accurately in the majority of cases. According to the study, ChaCha interpreted natural language search queries, that is, queries asked as questions, accurately in 94.4 percent of the tests and delivered an accurate search result in 88.9 percent of cases. The Google voice recognition technology interpreted queries accurately in 16.7 percent of tests and delivered accurate search results in 22.2 percent of tests. The Vlingo for iPhone voice recognition technology correctly interpreted queries in 72.2 percent of cases and delivered accurate results (via Yahoo!) in 27.8 percent of tests.

My personal thanks to esteemed colleague and associate Peggy Albright, the study’s lead analyst and principal author, and Bill Meisel, editor of Speech Strategy News and a leading authority on market and product opportunities created by the maturing of speech technology. Bill is also the president of president of TMA Associates and I look forward to showcasing his work and ideas on MSG soon.

Tomorrow: More report findings and surprising observations on the dismal state of mobile search.

Disclaimer: The complete report is available for free download here. This white paper is published by MSearchGroove. It contains the findings of independent research and analysis carried out by Peggy Albright, Albright Communications, and Peggy Anne Salz, MSearchGroove in January 2009. The research methodology was developed by Peggy Albright. The research was sponsored by ChaCha. The opinions expressed in this white paper are those of Peggy Albright and Peggy Anne Salz, and do not reflect the opinions of the organizations referenced in this paper.

The mobile advertising value chain is riddled with questions and shortcomings at this early stage of the game. Uncertainty over who has what place at the table, how many mouths we need to feed and whether there’s enough food to go around in the first place have created confusion and cost the industry valuable time and resources.

This is one of the key findings to emerge in Mobile Advertising Research U.K., a research project (undertaken by MSG, coordinated by Aeneas Strategy Consulting & Management, and guided by Every Single One Of Us) that draws upon interviews with companies across the ecosystem and a survey of 1,000+ individuals (purposely refraining from using consumers to refer to people) to expertly document the state of the mobile advertising industry in the U.K.

Chief gripes

Admittedly, the challenges are rife: the inability of mobile operators to deliver customer segmentation that effectively delivers a familiar demographic (say, males between 19-24 living in London as opposed to millennials, business prosumers or other concepts brands and buyers can’t relate to) ; the overemphasis on clickthrough, when we should be developing metrics and measurement better suited to mobile, such as cost per acquisition or cost per engagement, that better reflect its personal nature and value; and the overall lack of creativity and flexibility to move beyond the links and banners we know from the Internet. But widespread confusion over the mobile advertising value chain was reported as the single biggest obstacle blocking the industry from unlocking the vast potential of mobile advertising.

In fact, the consensus is that congestion in the value chain has paved the way for inevitable market consolidation, a process that may begin as early as late 2009.

Amid this confusion, it is virtually impossible to gain a sound understanding of the mobile advertising business models. To help the industry build a market and encourage the creation of a healthy ecosystem, Mobile Advertising Research U.K. offers insights into the value chain and the functions individual players must perform to enable brands to connect to people on their mobile phone. We have also identified where companies can (and will) play multiple roles in the value chain to build core capabilities and deliver value-add.

Unsurprisingly, although the report advises companies to collaborate (not compete) until the mobile advertising market has matured and business models have emerged, many of the executives interviewed revealed strategies to assert their dominance in the value chain by trying to squeeze players to their left and right into more peripheral roles. It is not possible to predict the outcome at this point, nor can we ascertain the impact on the overall market ecosystem. However, it’s clear that the value chain will continue to be an issue and become more complex and fragmented.

Education and examples

So, while it seems that the value chain is both the problem and the solution, it’s encouraging to see examples of how mobile companies can (and should) come together in pursuit of a greater goal: Covering all the bases to execute exceptional mobile advertising campaigns.

My work on Mobile Advertising Research U.K. (which will be repeated in 2010) has allowed me to connect with an eclectic mix of creative agencies, mobile marketing firms and applications companies, relationships that allow me to showcase notable campaigns, case studies and key learnings on MSG for the benefit of companies across the mobile advertising business ecosystem. I’m particularly looking forward to connecting with Alex Meisl, Chairman of Sponge, a mobile digital agency, in a few weeks for the inside track on a “powerful” mobile advertising campaign he assures me will impress me even more the campaign his agency put together for the Bird’s Eye frozen foods company.

By way of background, this promotion pegs the needle in my book. It started out as a simple text-to-win scheme and evolved into a personal dialogue with the individual, encouraging them to try other Bird’s Eye products. In practice, because the consumer sent a text to the short code on the back of the package, Sponge knew what the individual consumer bought and could suggest a complementary product, such as frozen potato waffles to accompany fish sticks. As Alex put it: “We wanted to move mobile advertising away from just a single point of contact to building up a long-term relationship with the consumer.” It paid off. Bird’s Eye was able to create an opt-in database of well over 100,000 people open and interested in receiving more text messages and rich advertising delivered via email moving forward.

Hardee’s multi-channel play

Another example high on my radar is Hardee’s new mobile campaign encouraging people to name their new line of Biscuit Holes. The multi-platform, interactive campaign will deliver geo-targeted advertising across Jumptap’s premium ad network through a channel of premium sites and applications that are frequented by the target audience of adults between the ages of 18 and 49. To ensure effective targeting (again, a prerequisite to an optimal advertising experience for both brands and people, as my own research shows), a custom channel was created for this campaign that brings together the mobile destinations (social networking, entertainment, sports and lifestyle brands) and publishers (Boost Mobile, Joker Poker, MocoSpace, LimeLife and Weatherbug) to fit this specific target audience. Hardee’s will also run display ads on tapMatch, Jumptap’s self service PPC mobile performance marketplace where the same ads will be delivered based on similar targeting parameters. (Release)

But what really stands out here is how the Hardee’s campaign, developed by advertising agency Mendelsohn Zien Advertising, has orchestrated the capabilities of key players to make this work.

• iLoop Mobile, a provider of integrated mobile marketing solutions and services, created the mobile-optimized site that features rich media such as videos of the ads, viral branded mobile greeting cards that people can send to each other, and product information) The site also integrates with the campaign Internet website via form fields that collect the person’s suggested name for the Biscuit Holes, as well as other user profile data. From there the data (in this case the suggested name for the Biscuit Holes) can be inserted into the TV spots.

• InsightExpress, a digital marketing research firm, closes the circle, bringing to the table its abilities to measure success and failure. Specifically, the research firm will measure the mobile campaign’s success, highlighting changes in consumer awareness, message association and purchase intent after exposure to the display banners and landing page.  Using Mobile InsightNorms, a database of 50+ mobile campaigns, InsightExpress will also compare the effectiveness of the Biscuit Holes campaign to previous mobile studies.

And there is a feedback loop to all of the companies in the ecosystem. Hardee’s, Mendelsohn Zien,   iLoop and InsightExpress will join Jumptap to showcase the results during ad:tech New York (Nov. 4) and share lessons learned from the multi-channel, multi-platform, multi-player campaign.

(By way of background, the partner companies – each fulfilling an essential element of the campaign and ensuring optimal execution – was set down at Jumptap’s MobileMix conference, which awarded Mendelsohn Zien Advertising a free “mobile advertising immersion program” – a kind of turnkey solution that brings together the companies listed above. The goal of the program is to showcase the ease in launching a mobile marketing campaign and demonstrate the overall effectiveness of mobile advertising.)

Jumptap’s Paran Johar

Thanks to Julie Ginches (who heads up marcom and is my constant companion on Skype) I arranged a briefing with Paran to discuss the campaign and get his view on mounting mobile advertising value chain tensions.

From our discussion:

Q. We know the Hardee’s news from late June, but what does it tell us about mobile advertising obstacles now? Is this the way to jumpstart and industry that has stalled?

A: That’s a great question. When we developed this concept, we really wanted to remove any barriers for an advertiser to test mobile advertising. No matter if they didn’t have a WAP site, a creative, or a way to measure it all. This program removes those barriers completely.

It was wonderful that Hardee’s won this because I think the fast food area has been moderate in terms of its adoption of mobile advertising. So I think they were the perfect winner. But what’s really great about this, and very unique, is that they integrated this into the overall campaign immediately. This is just not another ad in terms of ‘let’s just slap up some banners and see what happens’ It’s inviting  people to name the product, which I think leverages the medium [mobile] for what it does best.

Q: That’s what I’m hearing in all my interviews for the Mobile Advertising Research UK project: Mobile should sit at the center of a cross-media play. Is this your thinking?

A: Cross-media’s really critical because each medium has its place. Mobile has branding effects, we all know that from the dynamic study from InsightExpress. Television has a different role because of its sight, sound, and motion, and because it has a larger reach.

Within this mobile has the unique ability to be incredibly relevant, geo-specific, and interactive, all which complement other media such as online and TV. Mobile engages a consumer, when it’s relevant to interact with an ad and provide a response.

Q: Let’s talk more about targeting, because that also came out in my research. It has to be targeted and relevant, and our research into people’s attitudes supported this…

A: Yes, that’s why a perfect example is this campaign. They actually integrated that whole idea in campaign, the ‘Name Our Holes’ concept, into the mobile component. So people are going to be getting targeted media on both our performance marketplace tapMatch, and a premium mobile ad network targeting 18- to 49-year-old males, and they’re going to engage with ads to actually name the biscuit holes and provide feedback.

And that feedback could be integrated back into the television TV spots and is actually going to be used on other things like a mass-focus group to get insights from consumers. And they can also engage with the brand on the WAP site by forwarding mobile greeting cards; by forwarding TV spots and viewing TV spots. So it really provides an opportunity for a consumer to engage with a brand and provide a level of interactivity on the ‘Naming Our Holes’ campaign.

Q: Other companies are involved here. Does that tell us something about who has a place at table, or do you just all get along really well?(laughter)

A: We did this to bring the ecosystem together to show results. iLoop, as our partner; so for a campaign ‘Name Our Holes’, they brought the WAP site to bear, and it wasn’t just a one-page WAP site – it was a WAP site that included engagement with consumers to actually name the biscuit holes for Hardee’s restaurants. It also provides a crucial component, allowing consumers to forward greeting cards if they’re a Hardee’s fan. And it also allows them to watch the commercials – if they so choose.

The InsideExpress component was critical because advertisers need analytics. They’re going to measure this from a click-through rate perspective – what was the click-through rate and what was the number of people that submitted a response and/or sent a greeting card? But, beyond that, what InsideExpress allows them to do is actually measure the brand lift; the awareness, the message association and purchase, and that’s critical because that is specific to the mobile channel.

Our component is the media component of this campaign, which allows the advertiser to target its audience, males 18 to 49, in specific geographies, both in the premium mobile ad network and in tapMatch.

It really shows the goal here is bringing all of us together in the ecosystem we can show how relevancy with a clean user experience of a WAP site can drive user engagement – can drive conversion – can drive brand awareness and brand metrics.

Q: You have three companies here, the average value chain has at least six steps between the brand and the individual. What so few mouths to feed?

A: When you think about the value chain, there’s typically a publisher, an operator, an ad network. There has to be a WAP provider that develops the WAP site and then there has to be measurement. We obviously work with many operators, many publishers, and many advertisers. We work with many constituents in the value chain. This program is a way just to bring together an ecosystem that shows how this can be done and how we can remove barriers to show how easy it is to launch a mobile advertising campaign and measure results.

Q: It’s an opt-in campaign, which again covers the bases from what my research reveals is best practice. What can you tell me about engagement?

A: For this campaign, we wanted to keep it simple. And keep in mind; we had to pull this all together in less than four weeks. Hardee’s is all about interacting and entertaining their customers, so this was a perfect platform to do that. That’s their main goal is involving the customers in an entertaining way. The main call to action of the entire promotion is naming the Hardee’s biscuit holes. That’s their goal, is that they’re coming out with this new product. It’s basically a new product launcher. At the same time, it’s about capturing people’s names, emails and phone numbers to build a CRM database for the future. So that’s a win as well.

A word about patents

Using the opportunity to connect again with Paran, I asked him about the significance of the recent decision by the United States Patent Office to award Jumptap a patent that “relates to a method for presenting an advertisement in association with a web page displayed on a mobile communication facility.”

By way of background, the patent covers a method that is based on:

• determining a first relevancy score based upon a statistical association between at least a first advertisement and one or more keywords;
• determining a second relevancy score based upon a statistical association between at least a second advertisement and the one or more keywords;
• receiving a web page request from the mobile communication facility;
• receiving contextual information from the web page, wherein the contextual information includes at least the one or more keywords; and
• presenting the first advertisement in association with the web page to be displayed on the mobile communication facility based upon a determination that the first relevancy score is greater than the second relevancy score.

Paran declined to comment, a decision I respect. A look around the blogosphere didn’t help put this into perspective either. Most sites simply regurgitated the news and my esteemed colleague Greg Sterling stands out as one of the few to think this through and tell us what it means.

His take: A strong IP portfolio makes the company [Jumptap] more attractive as an acquisition target or potentially gives it another (licensing) revenue stream down the line.

My take: Thinking this though – and knowing Jumptap CEO Dan Olschwang as well and as long as I do – I must come to a different conclusion. Dan has his eye on the prize. He is hardly focused on wielding IP to be a more attractive candidate for acquisition. If anything, he’s creating and communicating capabilities (including a store of impressive IP related to targeting and mobile advertising) to make it clear that Jumptap has its stake set firmly in the ground. Jumptap a candidate for takeover? More likely getting in gear to take over someone else.

Regular readers will recall that MSG was commissioned to conduct Mobile Advertising Research UK, a project research endorsed by the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) and the Mobile Marketing Association (MMA), to expertly document the state of the mobile advertising industry in the U.K. and identify growth opportunities in the emerging mobile advertising marketplace.

The report — which combines valuable consumer insights gathered by ÆNEAS Strategy Consulting and Management (coordinated by my esteemed colleagues Tarik Fawzi and Atva van Zanten) and qualitative research based on more than 20 interviews with operators, enablers, agencies and brands contributed by MSG — marks the first in a series of region-specific reports that will include Germany (2009) and North America (2010).

During the inaugural event (Mobile Advertising Research U.K.) last week in London, Tarik and I presented an overview of key findings (documented by MSearchGroove here) and revealed the results of an online survey of over 1,000 British. consumers. Pricing is GBP 2,999 ($4,866) for the report, and a 500 GBP discount is available for MMA/IAB members, and people who attended the event. For more details, click here.

And speaking of reports, I am pleased to announce that I will provide a sneak-peak at the results of a performance analysis of voice-enabled mobile search services from search giants Google, Yahoo! & ChaCha during a special Mobile Search Masterclass in London on June 30.

By way of background, this course is part of The City University London’s Masterclass series, a collaboration between the giCentre and the Centre for Interactive Systems Research at the University. It will be run for the second year following from feedback last year and is endorsed by the Mobile Data Association (MDA). Registration is GBP295 and the organizers tell me there are still a few seats available, so email Mark Firman (mfirman@soi.city.ac.uk) to reserve your place.

The complete findings will be released in July, but I can say that ChaCha, a fast-growing SMS mobile search service available in the U.S., “proved superior” to two other voice-enabled search options for the iPhone: the Google Mobile App with Voice and Vlingo for iPhone, a voice-enabled application that allows users to direct their spoken queries to Google or Yahoo! For the purposes of this study, Vlingo provided a spoken interface to the Yahoo! search engine.

To evaluate the overall performance of voice-enabled mobile services offered by ChaCha, Google and Vlingo for iPhone with Yahoo!, we asked a series of 18 queries representative of six typical mobile search categories (Navigational, Directions, Information Local, Information General, Social, and Long-Tail). For each query, we evaluated nine performance characteristics including response time, results accuracy, voice recognition accuracy, number of results received, keytaps required, relevancy of the result, location awareness, use of advertising and presence of other value-added features. The study further took into account that a service could deliver its search results in the form of answers (as ChaCha offers) or as links to Web pages (which Google and Vlingo deliver); for each query tested, an accurate result could be achieved in either form.

In addition to going over some high-level results, I will also present an overview of the mobile search landscape, focusing particular attention on the 10+ categories of mobile search gaining significant traction, including multimodal (voice/visual), mobile vertical search (music/games) and social search, a people-powered search approach that effectively infuses human preferences and human judgments into computer algorithms to pinpoint relevant information and better answers.

This presentation is based on the work I did with Rudy De Waele, blogger at mTrends and dotopen founder, in preparation for a workshop on Mobile Search Future Prospects organized by JRC IPTS (Institute for Prospective Technological Studies of the European Commission).

Other masterclass speakers and sessions will examine a range of topics and developments, including: mobile search statistics and surveys, key trends and developments, location services and search user interfaces and usability, and the range of content and advertising monetization models involving mobile search. I’m honored to join an impressive roster of industry authorities from companies including AmbieSense Ltd., a provider of ambient search services; Microsoft Research (Cambridge); g8wave Ltd., a mobile marketing company; and Mobile Commerce Ltd., a provider of location-based services that also possesses what the founders call a “piece of enablement” that gives them deep insight into the search queries passed through the operator portals in the U.K., and the results set returned to the user. This central position, combined with the company’s prowess in search advertising, makes MC a top address for the inside track on the quality of the mobile search experience offered by Google and Yahoo!, as well as their ability to deliver relevant results to users’ queries.

Last year, the case studies and analytics provided by Colin Bates, Mobile Commerce CTO, data also reported on MSearchGroove, provided invaluable insight into the most popular categories of mobile search queries and what users really want from their mobile search experience. The eye-opening observation: “Users are grazing, not researching. They are looking for time-fillers rather than facts, and they are using search boxes for site-finding rather than data-finding.”

It will be exciting to explore how mobile search has moved on and discuss where it is going. If you plan to attend and would like to meet up or catch up, please contact me directly (peggy@msearchgroove.com) or arrange an appointment with Andrea Henninge (andrea@msearchgroove.com). I hope to see you soon and will circle back with analysis after the event.

Among the overall findings:

• Devices don’t’ matter (much): Users with standard feature phones will use the Web as much or even more than a smartphone user if the mobile Internet experience is good
• There is a ‘long tail’ in the mobile Internet: The top website typically accounts for 5 percent of total mobile page views. The number two site accounts for less than 1 percent of traffic. And the top 500 sites account for only 25-30 percent of all page views
• Sessions vary: 40 percent of mobile internet sessions are under five minutes and 40 percent are over 15 minutes

The report further groups mobile users into ‘tribes’ based on their distinctive user profiles. These are:

• The Business Pro – Dependent on their mobile to be more productive and to handle all their communications
• The Mobile Millennial – Early adopters and young adults with disposable income
• The Connected Kid – Children and teenagers who have grown up with technology from a young age
• The Multitasking Parent – Use their mobile phone to stay in touch and manage family schedules
• The Frugal Fanatic – Cost conscious of spending, usually opting for a free handset

Based on these observations and segmentation the report concludes:

• Multitasking Parents and Mobile Millennials are the most active user populations, generating nearly 2/3 of mobile browsing sessions between them
• Business Pros even with their highly capable devices, generate less mobile browsing sessions than expected. They also use news, sports and information sites twice as much as nearly all other groups and are lowest for social networks
• Mobile Millennial and Connected Kids are by far the heaviest users of social networks
• Frugal Fanatics utilise handset customisation services more than twice as much as any other group
• Connected Kids have far more page views relative to sessions than any other group, indicating they tend to surf more for entertainment purposes
• Source

The bottom line: The Mobile Internet, and indeed many mobile services, would fail to survive and thrive without technical companies such as Novarra, largely unknown to the masses, but which provide critical back-end solutions. Peggy adds: Kudos to Novarra for an excellent report! Not a lot of rocket science here, but an important confirmation of the groups of people on the mobile Web and an overview of what they do. Read between the lines, and you’ll see there is a great deal of untapped value in developing (and branding) life-enabling/life-simplifying services for the Multitasking Parents and Mobile Millennials, who are the most active user populations and – potentially – most responsive to companies that make their lives easier. (I highly recommend you check out my fireside chat with Ogilvy’s Rory Sutherland, packed with some surprising business model suggestions, supported by the findings above.)

***

LOCAL MOBILE CONTENT ATTRACTS SIGNIFICANT AUDIENCE. Local content views are up 51 percent over the past year, according to comScore figures. Research also reveals that application downloads are leading the growth.  It observes an 83 percent increase in the number of subscribers to local content via applications since March 2008, with text messaging services also outpacing average growth.  The study shows a 72 per cent increase in SMS subscriptions in the 12 months to March 2009.

Meanwhile, browser based access continues to grow at a rate of 34 percent year on year over the same period and, despite the slower growth rate, remains the dominant method for retrieving local content.  It accounted for 63.7 percent of all downloads in March 2009. Earlier research by comScore found younger mobile users tend to retrieve more entertainment content, while older users across Europe usually prefer financial information. Source

The bottom line: These generally encouraging comScore statistics confirm our hunch that applications downloads and mobile Internet usage are on the rise. However, the surge in local mobile content may not reflect a universal trend. It’s likely that the popularity of local content is a product of context. In other words, local content thrives in a handful of large, dense, urban regions where high-speed network coverage and captive audiences are the norm. Peggy adds: These stats also question our assumption that the global giants we know rule the roost. Take Skyrock in France, which is bigger that Facebook can ever hope to be. The popularity and reach of local content – particularly on personal devices such as our mobile phones – is sure to climb.

***

MOBILE ADVERTISING FOR MOVIES AND ALCOHOL SET BENCHMARK for industry, according to a study by Amethon Mobile Internet Insight.  The study also states that despite high CTRs, brands should focus on the quality of engagement.

Analysis of traffic to more than 100 mobile advertising sites found that consumers view just over 3 pages per visit for best-in-class campaigns, while the average across all campaigns analyzed was only 1.53 pages. Only 33 percent of consumers venture beyond the first page of mobile campaign sites, which the research says suggests mobile advertising campaigns need more compelling content within the microsite to engage consumers more effectively.

The report found that movie related campaign sites achieve the highest engagement levels, visitors viewing an average of 1.65 pages per visit, a figure that also accounted for a 21 percent share of overall audience. Alcohol campaigns achieved a similar share of audience but suffered from poor engagement, with users often not navigating beyond the age verification page.

Portal and directory service campaigns were the most common (22 percent of all campaigns), but had a relatively low audience share and below-average engagement.  Meanwhile, content downloads such as branded wallpapers or videos in the microsite did not significantly improve engagement. Source

The bottom line: This detailed study of mobile advertising offers insightful statistics to support what many have been saying all along: Advertising must be relevant and engaging.  While it probably comes as no surprise that interest in advertising around films takes the top shot, a lot of work has to be done in the way of creative thought to the landing page and what people do after they click through. This is particularly pertinent in view of the drop off in popularity of wallpapers and video.  The other issue of poor engagement in popular alcohol campaigns, possibly due to age verification process is disappointing but not surprising or uncommon.  I explore age verification issues in more detail in a recent post here.

***

40 PERCENT OF USERS ACCESS INTERNET MORE OFTEN ON iPHONE / iPOD TOUCH THAN ON PC, according to a new demographic study from comScore and Admob.  The research also reveals that 69 percent of iPod Touch users are between 13-24 years of age, while the same age segment represents just 26 percent of iPhone users. In total, 74 percent of iPhone users are over the age of 25, compared to 31 percent of iPod touch users. Over 70 percent of users on both the iPhone and iPod touch are male.

Over the next six months, iPhone users are said to be planning to buy clothing (57 percent), entertainment (47 percent), and travel (45 percent), while iPod touch users plan to purchase clothing (61 percent), entertainment (53 percent), and mobile devices (36 percent).

By way of background, the methodology used in this primary research into the demographics and behavioral characteristics of iPhone and iPod touch users in the first half of 2009 is as follows: Participants were visitors to domains within the AdMob iPhone network who were shown survey invitation banners rather than banner ads. Those who clicked through the survey banner were presented with the mobile survey. The total sample size of iPod touch participants is 3,848, while the total number of

participants in the iPhone sample is 3,454. All results were tested for statistically significant differences at the 95 percent confidence level.  Source

The bottom line: As well as the headline that 40 percent of users access the Internet via their mobile device more often than their computer, the other key finding is the age differentiation.  You could surmise from this that teenagers can convince their parents to buy them an iPod touch, but not an iPhone and all its recurring bills. Other findings such as average salary were largely in-line with the age difference.  The ongoing generation of such data is key in the production of applications and the execution of mobile advertising strategies.

***

LG EXPECTS NINE PERCENT RISE in mobile sales.  The Korean handset manufacturer has said it will sell 110 million devices this year, despite a flat global market. The company has also said this figure will rise to more than 200 million by 2012. Source

The bottom line: Handset manufacturers marginalized, at least in publicity terms, by the “bigger” names now have an uphill task to continue producing new quality devices which will gain mass market penetration and to effectively promote their core differentiators.  These bullish projections are encouraging signs of a still highly competitive marketplace.

Regular readers will recall that MSG was commissioned to conduct Mobile Advertising UK, a research project research endorsed by the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) and the Mobile Marketing Association (MMA), to expertly document the state of the mobile advertising industry in the U.K. and identify growth opportunities in the emerging mobile advertising marketplace. The report – which combines valuable consumer insights gathered by ÆNEAS Strategy Consulting and Management (coordinated by my esteemed colleagues Tarik Fawzi and Atva van Zanten) and qualitative research based on 20+ interviews with operators, enablers, agencies, and brands contributed by MSG – will be formally released in July.

Pricing is GBP 2,999 ($4,866) for the report. 500 GBP discount for MMA and IAB members, and people who attended the event. For more information, click here. And while we’re at it: A huge around of applause for James, long-time MSG friend and supporter, whose Camerjam Events company successfully brought together 130+ professionals and pundits at this inaugural event sure to spread to other countries soon!

In the meantime, allow me to share some of the key findings and data points based on an online survey of 1,000+ UK mobile users. (And please follow along in the complete presentation below via SlideShare, and listen in to this audio interview (supported by the iPhone blogging app Audio Boo) via The Really Mobile Project, where I put some of the stats into perspective.)

At a glance:

• Today the mobile advertising market in the U.K. totals nearly GBP 30 million ($48 million).
• Mobile advertising accounts for only 0.16 percent of the total advertising market – which is where Internet advertising was in 1998.
• ÆNEAS Strategy forecasts that mobile advertising will see accelerated growth in four years and so account for a significant portion of advertising spending. Drivers include: A calculated growth rate of 99 percent in 2008 vs. 2007; the overall shift towards digital advertising; and increased demand for targeting, reach, and a medium that -like no other – allows advertisers to identify and track unique visitors. (For more on this unique capability and the benefits I encourage you to read my own road test of mobile analytics solutions.)
• Only 32 percent of those surveyed have a positive attitude about receiving advertising on their mobile phone. However, 64 percent said they would accept advertising is they are properly incentivized, and 70 percent said they would accept mobile advertising if they are incentivized AND in control.
• The majority of those surveyed felt 5 advertising messages per day was the limit of what they would accept.

Unsurprisingly, youth are most familiar with mobile advertising channels (specifically rich media such as MMS and in-game advertising (approaches we know from the likes of Unkasoft). What’s more a whopping 84 percent of youth surveyed has a positive attitude toward mobile advertising if incentivized. The bottom line: Acceptance of mobile advertising is right up there with TV and other more traditional media IF we can get our head around what incentives to offer and develop the mechanisms that put people in control.

No clue on the right incentives, but it’s not a given that companies need to offer cash to capture people’s attention. In the fireside chat I recorded with Rory Sutherland, Ogilvy UK Vice Chairman, we discuss the value of branded utilities and life-simplifying services. Will people accept advertising if the pay-off is less stress/more convenience? It sure looks that way!

Expert interviews:

So we know mobile advertising will be big. But what do we do in the interim, and where should we channel our investments/efforts so we can move fast when the market picks up?

No easy answers, but my interviews with companies up and down the emerging mobile advertising value chain speak volumes. Companies – in no special order – included: Orange, Vodafone, 3UK, Alcatel Lucent, Ogilvy, 4th Screen, InsideMobile, Adfortel, MMA, AdMob, IAB UK, RGA, Mobixell, Comverse, T-Mobile, 3, Sponge, Bango, and a slew of brands that wish to remain anonymous.

The bottom line: Text rules! There’s plenty of mileage left in simple SMS, and it represents a hassle-free way to start an ongoing conversation with people on their terms (remember from the findings above, people want to be in control of their advertising experiences).

There are also opportunities in location-based marketing (but not the Starbucks example, please!), mobile coupons, cross-media advertising plays with mobile at their core, and the avalanche of app stores coming online.

I can’t divulge all the results here, but I can share some thought-provoking quotes that highlight where the growth is (and isn’t), and identify the obstacles that stand in the way.

BRANDS

“If measurement was aligned with what we know from the Web or TV, it would help a lot to build confidence.”

Road ahead:

“Just between the two of us, our spend for search is by far not in the digits yet, so therefore it would be not realistic to say we would spend more on mobile advertising than for search.  That’s where we are with digital advertising, so it would totally unrealistic to say that in 2009 or 2010 we make it into the single digit share.  But it’s growing, clearly growing.”

OPERATORS

“I think there’s other opportunities such as advertising actually embedded within a widget. You could have some sort of utility widget, such as one providing weather forecasts, and there’s no reason why certain companies may not wish to have some advertising embedded within that.”

Road ahead:

“As a general principle, operators are in a particularly good position in that we can offer a variety of ways to reach the audience.  If brands want to reach a customer base, we can offer banners and messaging. We also have a fixed line web presence so we can offer traditional web advertising, in addition to magazines and billings (mailings) that we can offer. We are in a position to use mobile not only as a media property, but also as an enabler.”

AGENCIES

“I don’t think there are any real obstacles. I think it’s laziness on behalf of anyone that would suggest it’s difficult to buy. You have 5 buying points and you can hit 80 percent of the market. Call us, Yahoo, Microsoft, Orange, and AdMob. That’s it – and you’ve got the market covered. 80 percent of the inventory covered in five phone calls.”

Road ahead:

“There are a number of studies out there that show exposure to multi-channel advertising gives you exponential impact in terms of response rate and brands awareness. So the opportunity is in mobile, but also in the other channels that evolve with it.”

APPLICATIONS PROVIDERS

“The big opportunity in every country to make mobile advertising really work is to have media sales bureaus or agencies who sit in between the owners of the inventory and the advertisers. It’s in an early stage of development, and it’s also something we are going to focus on as we set up a dedicated mobile sales agency to connect the inventory to the advertising agencies.”

Road ahead:

“There are some great examples of interaction with your phone and a poster, or with your phone and TV, but that will always be a small piece of a bigger advertising picture. Core to mobile advertising is mobile messaging. Mobile is capable of delivering a message and allowing us to interact with the message. There is an interesting opportunity for advertisers to interact via messaging linked to a certain location or time, and that will develop.”

INFRASTRUCTURE COMPANIES

“Currently, we’ve got a plethora of people offering mobile advertising in the market. But when it starts to become mass-market and reaches volume, then many of those players [ad serving companies] now will not be able to translate into that volume. So, you’re going to start seeing those players just sort of die away because when mobile advertising is serious business, then you’re talking about millions of adverts and not just a few hundred thousand.”

Road ahead

“It only starts to become interesting for a carrier when the revenue they can envisage starts off at 2 percent over their overall revenue with an opportunity to grow to 10 percent. That’s the revenue that will make them sit up and listen and we’re not there yet.”

Rory Sutherland audio interview

A highlight for both me and the audience was the entertaining and educational fireside chat with Rory, whose interest in -well – us and the finer points of behavioral psychology brought much-needed balance and big-picture vision to the discussion. As he points out in this recent opinion column in New Media Age: The job at hand is to use ideas to turn human understanding into business advantage. During our interview he made it clear that mobile is a medium perfectly suited to achieve just this goal. (Listen to the audio interview here. It’s 28:40 – but time flies when you’re having fun – and this sheer genius!

A few excerpts that made us think:

YES WE CAN!: Mobile can change people’s behavior – primarily because it takes the heavy-lifting out of doing things we might not do otherwise. Case in point: Charity. A moment of “epiphany” for Rory was the huge response to SMS campaigns asking for donations, although we have assumed that youth is not a demographic to give so generously. As he put it: “If this technology can change behavior that significantly, then who cares how good it is at advertising. Advertising is about changing opinions as a half-way house to changing their behavior.” The bottom line: If you can change people’s behavior from the get-go with mobile, then it deserves a top-notch spot in our campaigns.

LIFE-SIMPLYING: Rory’s message: Don’t dismiss branded utility because it’s unglamorous. Being brandedly useful is key. (And here is an example from Rory’s Twitter feed that illustrates this approach. The IBM Scout is a branded app that helps people get the most out of the Wimbledon 2009 Championships, providing live coverage of just about everything.

COUCH POTATOES: Let’s face it – many of us are. Rory figured this out when he was watching a line of cars at a drive-in ordering fast-food. Not one got out of the car to order at the counter – even though it was empty. Connect the dots, and it’s clear we are all a bit lazy. Apply this observation on basic human behavior to mobile and you have a powerful combination indeed! We will likely reach to the medium at hand (the personal device we have with us at all times) because it’s more convenient. “Channel preference almost trumps brand preference.” Some people may prefer Pizza Hut, but if they can order from Dominos by text, then they will likely switch for this reason. The bottom line: “Modality and modal preferences seem in a weird way to trump other things.”

WHAT’S THE POINT?: We have lost sight of what mobile can do. (A point that also came out in the research I conducted.) We’re hung up on old models and enamored of new technology, and we are missing some big opportunities. Imagine using text campaigns to encourage impulse savings instead of impulse buying. Or how about a brand that simply harnesses mobile to improve listening? As Rory pointed out: “Advertising is talking and listening. That’s a perfectly reasonable form of marketing, and mobile brilliant and you can do it in real-time.”

METRICS: We have become prisoners of our own metrics. To show us how ridiculous our obsession has become, Rory compares media buyers to alcoholics. “Alcoholics buy booze on a single metric: How much alcohol do I get per pound (GBP), and this is how media buyers buy media.”

MOBILE MATTERS:  “Mobile has been the medium of first resort and dangerous to neglect it which is probably why Google has been scared. Search has been the first place you go on the Web and mobile preempts this in some respects.”

I’ll explore mobile search in a post tomorrow, which will recount some highlights of the event, let you in on the results of a new MSG white paper,  and detail my own Mobile Search Masterclass on June 30^th in London.

By way of background, Rory’s bio:

Born in Usk, Monmouthshire in 1965, Rory read Classics at Christ’s College, Cambridge, before joining Ogilvy as a Graduate Trainee in 1988. After 18 months spent as the world’s worst account handler (as a desperate remedial measure he was once booked onto a time management course, but got the date wrong) Rory became a copywriter in June 1990. He has worked on Amex, BT, Compaq, Microsoft, IBM, BUPA, easyJet, Unilever, winning a few awards along the way. He was appointed Creative Director of OgilvyOne in 1997 and ECD in 1998. In 2005 he was appointed Vice Chairman on the Ogilvy Group in the UK in recognition of his improved timekeeping.

By an amazing stroke of luck (his brother is an academic) Rory first used the Internet in 1987. Hence he had the advantage in 1994 of knowing what it was and what it might do a few years ahead of many colleagues. Most people would have combined this knowledge of marketing and technology to make a fortune; not Rory. Instead he became the first Briton to have his credit card details stolen online, thereby losing £22.45.

In his spare time, Rory collects self-aggrandizing job titles. He was President of the Direct Jury at Cannes in 2007, and was elected President of the Institute of Practitioners in Advertising in 2009. He is also the Technology Correspondent of the Spectator, the world’s oldest English language magazine. At quiet moments in the proceedings over the next few days you may like to pay a furtive visit to his blog at http://snipr.com/da9bq

Rory is married with twin daughters of 7 (Hetty and Millie) and lives in the former home of Napoleon III in Brasted in Kent. Unfortunately in the attic.